Market participants have overwhelmingly converged on 32°C as the highest temperature recorded in Lagos on May 15, reflected in its near-certain 100% market-implied probability. Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency and regional monitoring stations show daytime highs reached exactly this threshold under stable atmospheric conditions typical of the early rainy season transition, with no model runs or on-site data indicating excursions into the 33°C range. This outcome aligns with long-term climatological baselines for mid-May in the coastal Lagos area, where mean maximum temperatures hover near 31–32°C absent unusual heat advection. Minor post-event quality-control revisions remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from any authoritative source, leaving the consensus firmly anchored.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Lagos on May 15?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 15?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$37,402 Vol.
$37,402 Vol.
May 15, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$37,402 Vol.
$37,402 Vol.
May 15, 2026
26°C or below
$3,030 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,263 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,146 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,308 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,976 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,346 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,493 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$4,075 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,537 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,458 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$5,769 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market participants have overwhelmingly converged on 32°C as the highest temperature recorded in Lagos on May 15, reflected in its near-certain 100% market-implied probability. Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency and regional monitoring stations show daytime highs reached exactly this threshold under stable atmospheric conditions typical of the early rainy season transition, with no model runs or on-site data indicating excursions into the 33°C range. This outcome aligns with long-term climatological baselines for mid-May in the coastal Lagos area, where mean maximum temperatures hover near 31–32°C absent unusual heat advection. Minor post-event quality-control revisions remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from any authoritative source, leaving the consensus firmly anchored.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
ভলিউম
$37,402শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:16 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market participants have overwhelmingly converged on 32°C as the highest temperature recorded in Lagos on May 15, reflected in its near-certain 100% market-implied probability. Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency and regional monitoring stations show daytime highs reached exactly this threshold under stable atmospheric conditions typical of the early rainy season transition, with no model runs or on-site data indicating excursions into the 33°C range. This outcome aligns with long-term climatological baselines for mid-May in the coastal Lagos area, where mean maximum temperatures hover near 31–32°C absent unusual heat advection. Minor post-event quality-control revisions remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from any authoritative source, leaving the consensus firmly anchored.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$37,402শেষ তারিখ
May 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:16 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Market participants have overwhelmingly converged on 32°C as the highest temperature recorded in Lagos on May 15, reflected in its near-certain 100% market-implied probability. Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency and regional monitoring stations show daytime highs reached exactly this threshold under stable atmospheric conditions typical of the early rainy season transition, with no model runs or on-site data indicating excursions into the 33°C range. This outcome aligns with long-term climatological baselines for mid-May in the coastal Lagos area, where mean maximum temperatures hover near 31–32°C absent unusual heat advection. Minor post-event quality-control revisions remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from any authoritative source, leaving the consensus firmly anchored.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা