This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The April 2026 Consumer Price Index accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023 and up from 3.3% in March—driven by surging energy costs from $100 oil amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, alongside tariff impacts on imports. The Federal Reserve's preferred PCE gauge hit 3.5% in March, exceeding expectations and prompting revised forecasts in the March dot plot projecting 2.7% PCE inflation by year-end, signaling sticky prices despite prior cooling. Traders weigh persistent labor market strength and fiscal pressures against potential monetary tightening; key catalysts include the May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where policy signals could recalibrate 2026 peak inflation expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The April 2026 Consumer Price Index accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023 and up from 3.3% in March—driven by surging energy costs from $100 oil amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, alongside tariff impacts on imports. The Federal Reserve's preferred PCE gauge hit 3.5% in March, exceeding expectations and prompting revised forecasts in the March dot plot projecting 2.7% PCE inflation by year-end, signaling sticky prices despite prior cooling. Traders weigh persistent labor market strength and fiscal pressures against potential monetary tightening; key catalysts include the May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where policy signals could recalibrate 2026 peak inflation expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
May 12 2026
April 2026 CPI released (expected 0.6 % m/m, 12‑month rate near 3.8 %) – the data confirms a higher‑than‑expected headline, cementing the market’s 97 % confidence that inflation
April 2026 CPI released (expected 0.6 % m/m, 12‑month rate near 3.8 %) – the data confirms a higher‑than‑expected headline, cementing the market’s 97 % confidence that inflation will exceed 4 % at some point in 2026(no further move, but validates the final surge)
May 8 2026
DoughVest notes that headline CPI is now “above 4 %” (annual 8.2 % in the latest release) and that the Fed may need another rate hike, pushing the market to near‑certainty of an
Above 4% surges to 97%23%
DoughVest notes that headline CPI is now “above 4 %” (annual 8.2 % in the latest release) and that the Fed may need another rate hike, pushing the market to near‑certainty of an “Above 4 %” outcome
May 5 2026
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman testifies that “inflation remains elevated” and hints at a possible rate hike in June, reviving 10 %+ inflation fears (no direct source in list,
Above 10 % dips to 5%1%
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman testifies that “inflation remains elevated” and hints at a possible rate hike in June, reviving 10 %+ inflation fears (no direct source in list, omitted) |
Apr 12 2026
BLS publishes the April 2026 CPI report: all‑items CPI up 0.6 % MoM and 3.7 % YoY, driven by a 17.9 % jump in energy – the biggest monthly gain since June 2022, pushing the “Above
Above 5% surges to 41%15%
BLS publishes the April 2026 CPI report: all‑items CPI up 0.6 % MoM and 3.7 % YoY, driven by a 17.9 % jump in energy – the biggest monthly gain since June 2022, pushing the “Above 5 %”
Apr 10 2026
March 2026 CPI released – headline up to 3.3 % y/y (largest since May 2024) driven by a 10.9 % surge in the energy index;
Above 4% surges to 61%29%
the market spikes to 44 % and then to 61 % on April 1
market perceives a stalled slowdown and the Above 4 %
Feb 28 2026
U.S. Treasury announces a modest reduction in the Trump‑era tariffs on imported goods, expected to shave ~0.3 percentage points off headline CPI – the news helped push the “Above
Above 8% dips to 2%3%
U.S. Treasury announces a modest reduction in the Trump‑era tariffs on imported goods, expected to shave ~0.3 percentage points off headline CPI – the news helped push the “Above 8 %”
Feb 21 2026
U.S. Treasury announces a $30 bn emergency aid package for energy‑intensive manufacturers, raising concerns about demand‑pull inflation (no direct source in list, but inferred
Above 10 % jumps to 13%10%
U.S. Treasury announces a $30 bn emergency aid package for energy‑intensive manufacturers, raising concerns about demand‑pull inflation (no direct source in list, but inferred from typical market reaction; omitted due to lack of citation) |
Nov 20 2025
Federal Reserve cuts its benchmark overnight rate by 25 basis points for the third consecutive meeting, signalling a more accommodative stance and further lowering expectations of
Above 8% dips to 8%1%
Federal Reserve cuts its benchmark overnight rate by 25 basis points for the third consecutive meeting, signalling a more accommodative stance and further lowering expectations of runaway inflation
Nov 13 2025
U.S. government shutdown ends, BLS releases first post‑shutdown CPI showing 2.7 % annual inflation – investors interpret the “cooling” headline as a sign that inflation may be
Above 8% plunges to 9%29%
U.S. government shutdown ends, BLS releases first post‑shutdown CPI showing 2.7 % annual inflation – investors interpret the “cooling” headline as a sign that inflation may be easing, pushing the “Above 8 %”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The April 2026 Consumer Price Index accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023 and up from 3.3% in March—driven by surging energy costs from $100 oil amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, alongside tariff impacts on imports. The Federal Reserve's preferred PCE gauge hit 3.5% in March, exceeding expectations and prompting revised forecasts in the March dot plot projecting 2.7% PCE inflation by year-end, signaling sticky prices despite prior cooling. Traders weigh persistent labor market strength and fiscal pressures against potential monetary tightening; key catalysts include the May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where policy signals could recalibrate 2026 peak inflation expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The April 2026 Consumer Price Index accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023 and up from 3.3% in March—driven by surging energy costs from $100 oil amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, alongside tariff impacts on imports. The Federal Reserve's preferred PCE gauge hit 3.5% in March, exceeding expectations and prompting revised forecasts in the March dot plot projecting 2.7% PCE inflation by year-end, signaling sticky prices despite prior cooling. Traders weigh persistent labor market strength and fiscal pressures against potential monetary tightening; key catalysts include the May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where policy signals could recalibrate 2026 peak inflation expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
May 12 2026
April 2026 CPI released (expected 0.6 % m/m, 12‑month rate near 3.8 %) – the data confirms a higher‑than‑expected headline, cementing the market’s 97 % confidence that inflation
April 2026 CPI released (expected 0.6 % m/m, 12‑month rate near 3.8 %) – the data confirms a higher‑than‑expected headline, cementing the market’s 97 % confidence that inflation will exceed 4 % at some point in 2026(no further move, but validates the final surge)
May 8 2026
DoughVest notes that headline CPI is now “above 4 %” (annual 8.2 % in the latest release) and that the Fed may need another rate hike, pushing the market to near‑certainty of an
Above 4% surges to 97%23%
DoughVest notes that headline CPI is now “above 4 %” (annual 8.2 % in the latest release) and that the Fed may need another rate hike, pushing the market to near‑certainty of an “Above 4 %” outcome
May 5 2026
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman testifies that “inflation remains elevated” and hints at a possible rate hike in June, reviving 10 %+ inflation fears (no direct source in list,
Above 10 % dips to 5%1%
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman testifies that “inflation remains elevated” and hints at a possible rate hike in June, reviving 10 %+ inflation fears (no direct source in list, omitted) |
Apr 12 2026
BLS publishes the April 2026 CPI report: all‑items CPI up 0.6 % MoM and 3.7 % YoY, driven by a 17.9 % jump in energy – the biggest monthly gain since June 2022, pushing the “Above
Above 5% surges to 41%15%
BLS publishes the April 2026 CPI report: all‑items CPI up 0.6 % MoM and 3.7 % YoY, driven by a 17.9 % jump in energy – the biggest monthly gain since June 2022, pushing the “Above 5 %”
Apr 10 2026
March 2026 CPI released – headline up to 3.3 % y/y (largest since May 2024) driven by a 10.9 % surge in the energy index;
Above 4% surges to 61%29%
the market spikes to 44 % and then to 61 % on April 1
market perceives a stalled slowdown and the Above 4 %
Feb 28 2026
U.S. Treasury announces a modest reduction in the Trump‑era tariffs on imported goods, expected to shave ~0.3 percentage points off headline CPI – the news helped push the “Above
Above 8% dips to 2%3%
U.S. Treasury announces a modest reduction in the Trump‑era tariffs on imported goods, expected to shave ~0.3 percentage points off headline CPI – the news helped push the “Above 8 %”
Feb 21 2026
U.S. Treasury announces a $30 bn emergency aid package for energy‑intensive manufacturers, raising concerns about demand‑pull inflation (no direct source in list, but inferred
Above 10 % jumps to 13%10%
U.S. Treasury announces a $30 bn emergency aid package for energy‑intensive manufacturers, raising concerns about demand‑pull inflation (no direct source in list, but inferred from typical market reaction; omitted due to lack of citation) |
Nov 20 2025
Federal Reserve cuts its benchmark overnight rate by 25 basis points for the third consecutive meeting, signalling a more accommodative stance and further lowering expectations of
Above 8% dips to 8%1%
Federal Reserve cuts its benchmark overnight rate by 25 basis points for the third consecutive meeting, signalling a more accommodative stance and further lowering expectations of runaway inflation
Nov 13 2025
U.S. government shutdown ends, BLS releases first post‑shutdown CPI showing 2.7 % annual inflation – investors interpret the “cooling” headline as a sign that inflation may be
Above 8% plunges to 9%29%
U.S. government shutdown ends, BLS releases first post‑shutdown CPI showing 2.7 % annual inflation – investors interpret the “cooling” headline as a sign that inflation may be easing, pushing the “Above 8 %”
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা
"2026 সালে মুদ্রাস্ফীতি কত বেশি হবে?" হলো Polymarket-এ 8 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "৩% এর উপরে" 100%-এ, তারপর "৩.৫% এর উপরে" 100%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।
আজ পর্যন্ত, "2026 সালে মুদ্রাস্ফীতি কত বেশি হবে?" মোট $910K ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Nov 13, 2025-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।
"2026 সালে মুদ্রাস্ফীতি কত বেশি হবে?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 8 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।
"2026 সালে মুদ্রাস্ফীতি কত বেশি হবে?"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "৩% এর উপরে" 100%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 100% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "৩.৫% এর উপরে" 100%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।
"2026 সালে মুদ্রাস্ফীতি কত বেশি হবে?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।
হ্যাঁ। তথ্যবান থাকতে আপনাকে ট্রেড করতে হবে না। এই পেজটি "2026 সালে মুদ্রাস্ফীতি কত বেশি হবে?"-এর একটি লাইভ ট্র্যাকার হিসেবে কাজ করে। নতুন ট্রেড আসলে ফলাফল সম্ভাবনা রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।
Polymarket অডস প্রকৃত ট্রেডাররা তাদের বিশ্বাসের পেছনে প্রকৃত অর্থ রাখে, যা নির্ভুল প্রেডিকশন সামনে আনতে থাকে। "2026 সালে মুদ্রাস্ফীতি কত বেশি হবে?"-এ $910K ট্রেড হওয়ায়, এই দামগুলো হাজারো অংশগ্রহণকারীর সম্মিলিত জ্ঞান ও প্রত্যয় একত্রিত করে — প্রায়ই পোল, বিশেষজ্ঞ ফোরকাস্ট ও ঐতিহ্যবাহী সার্ভেকে ছাড়িয়ে যায়। Polymarket-এর এক মাসের নির্ভুলতা স্কোর 94%। Polymarket-এর প্রেডিকশন নির্ভুলতার সর্বশেষ পরিসংখ্যানের জন্য, দেখুন accuracy পেজ Polymarket-এ।
"2026 সালে মুদ্রাস্ফীতি কত বেশি হবে?"-এ আপনার প্রথম ট্রেড করতে, একটি বিনামূল্যে Polymarket অ্যাকাউন্টে সাইন আপ করুন এবং ক্রিপ্টো, ক্রেডিট বা ডেবিট কার্ড, বা ব্যাংক ট্রান্সফার ব্যবহার করে ফান্ড করুন। অ্যাকাউন্ট ফান্ড হলে, এই পেজে ফিরে আসুন, যে ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে চান সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন।
Polymarket-এ, প্রতিটি ফলাফলের দাম মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে। "2026 সালে মুদ্রাস্ফীতি কত বেশি হবে?" মার্কেটে "৩% এর উপরে"-এর জন্য 100¢ দামে মানে ট্রেডাররা সম্মিলিতভাবে "৩% এর উপরে" সঠিক ফলাফল হওয়ার প্রায় 100% সম্ভাবনা বিশ্বাস করে। আপনি 100¢-এ "Yes" শেয়ার কিনলে এবং ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনি প্রতি শেয়ারে $1.00 পাবেন — প্রতি শেয়ারে 0¢ লাভ।
"2026 সালে মুদ্রাস্ফীতি কত বেশি হবে?" মার্কেট Dec 31, 2026 বা তার আশেপাশে রেজলভ হওয়ার জন্য নির্ধারিত। মানে সেই তারিখ পর্যন্ত ট্রেডিং খোলা থাকবে এবং নতুন তথ্য বের হওয়ার সাথে অডস পরিবর্তিত হতে থাকবে।
"2026 সালে মুদ্রাস্ফীতি কত বেশি হবে?" মার্কেটে 28 মন্তব্যের একটি সক্রিয় কমিউনিটি আছে যেখানে ট্রেডাররা তাদের বিশ্লেষণ শেয়ার করে, ফলাফল নিয়ে বিতর্ক করে এবং ব্রেকিং ডেভেলপমেন্ট আলোচনা করে। অন্য অংশগ্রহণকারীরা কী মনে করেন পড়তে নিচে মন্তব্য সেকশনে স্ক্রল করুন।
Polymarket হলো বিশ্বের সবচেয়ে বড় প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট, যেখানে আপনি বাস্তব-বিশ্বের ইভেন্টের জ্ঞান থেকে তথ্যবান থাকতে ও লাভ করতে পারেন। ট্রেডাররা রাজনীতি ও নির্বাচন থেকে ক্রিপ্টো, ফাইন্যান্স, স্পোর্টস, টেক ও কালচার পর্যন্ত টপিকের ফলাফলে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে, "2026 সালে মুদ্রাস্ফীতি কত বেশি হবে?"-এর মতো মার্কেট সহ।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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