Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Ciro Gomes at 63.5% for Ceará's 2026 gubernatorial election, driven by late April polls from Genial/Quaest and Instituto Veritá showing him leading first-round scenarios 41-54% over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 32-35%, with comfortable runoff advantages. Ciro's early May confirmation of his PSDB pre-candidacy—dropping a potential presidential bid—has solidified his position as the leading challenger in the longtime PT stronghold, boosting momentum amid high undecideds (20-34%). Camilo Santana trails at 9% amid PT internal tensions, while Eduardo Girão, Roberto Cláudio, and Capitão Wagner lag far behind. Upcoming polls and June candidate registrations could shift dynamics before the October first round.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 64%
Elmano de Freitas 22%
Camilo Santana 6.1%
Eduardo Girão 3.6%
$53,150 Vol.
$53,150 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Ciro Gomes
64%
Elmano de Freitas
22%
Camilo Santana
8%
Eduardo Girão
7%
Roberto Cláudio
2%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 64%
Elmano de Freitas 22%
Camilo Santana 6.1%
Eduardo Girão 3.6%
$53,150 Vol.
$53,150 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Ciro Gomes
$35,966 Vol.
64%
Elmano de Freitas
$5,639 Vol.
22%
Camilo Santana
$2,887 Vol.
8%
Eduardo Girão
$3,074 Vol.
7%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,784 Vol.
2%
Capitão Wagner
$3,805 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Ciro Gomes at 63.5% for Ceará's 2026 gubernatorial election, driven by late April polls from Genial/Quaest and Instituto Veritá showing him leading first-round scenarios 41-54% over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 32-35%, with comfortable runoff advantages. Ciro's early May confirmation of his PSDB pre-candidacy—dropping a potential presidential bid—has solidified his position as the leading challenger in the longtime PT stronghold, boosting momentum amid high undecideds (20-34%). Camilo Santana trails at 9% amid PT internal tensions, while Eduardo Girão, Roberto Cláudio, and Capitão Wagner lag far behind. Upcoming polls and June candidate registrations could shift dynamics before the October first round.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volumen
$53,150Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Ciro Gomes at 63.5% for Ceará's 2026 gubernatorial election, driven by late April polls from Genial/Quaest and Instituto Veritá showing him leading first-round scenarios 41-54% over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 32-35%, with comfortable runoff advantages. Ciro's early May confirmation of his PSDB pre-candidacy—dropping a potential presidential bid—has solidified his position as the leading challenger in the longtime PT stronghold, boosting momentum amid high undecideds (20-34%). Camilo Santana trails at 9% amid PT internal tensions, while Eduardo Girão, Roberto Cláudio, and Capitão Wagner lag far behind. Upcoming polls and June candidate registrations could shift dynamics before the October first round.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$53,150Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Ciro Gomes at 63.5% for Ceará's 2026 gubernatorial election, driven by late April polls from Genial/Quaest and Instituto Veritá showing him leading first-round scenarios 41-54% over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 32-35%, with comfortable runoff advantages. Ciro's early May confirmation of his PSDB pre-candidacy—dropping a potential presidential bid—has solidified his position as the leading challenger in the longtime PT stronghold, boosting momentum amid high undecideds (20-34%). Camilo Santana trails at 9% amid PT internal tensions, while Eduardo Girão, Roberto Cláudio, and Capitão Wagner lag far behind. Upcoming polls and June candidate registrations could shift dynamics before the October first round.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen