Recent June 2026 core PCE data printed at a soft 0.1% month-over-month, below consensus, reinforcing trader expectations for contained price pressures heading into the July release due August 26. July CPI figures showed core prices rising 0.2% month-over-month with the annual rate easing to 2.5%, the lowest in five months, amid slower shelter and services gains. These outcomes, combined with stable labor market conditions and no sharp acceleration in goods prices, underpin the market-implied 54.5% probability on a 0.2% July core PCE print and 28% on 0.3%. Broader moderation in year-over-year core PCE to 3.3% in June further supports the current pricing, though any upside surprise in services or shelter components could shift sentiment ahead of the BEA report.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert0.2% 55%
0.3% 28%
0.1% 11.1%
0.4%+ 4.4%
$29,723 Vol.
$29,723 Vol.
26. Aug. 2026
≤-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
<1%
0.0%
<1%
0.1%
11%
0.2%
55%
0.3%
28%
0.4%+
4%
0.2% 55%
0.3% 28%
0.1% 11.1%
0.4%+ 4.4%
$29,723 Vol.
$29,723 Vol.
26. Aug. 2026
≤-0.2%
$606 Vol.
<1%
-0.1%
$830 Vol.
<1%
0.0%
$980 Vol.
<1%
0.1%
$2,886 Vol.
11%
0.2%
$3,991 Vol.
55%
0.3%
$17,364 Vol.
28%
0.4%+
$3,067 Vol.
4%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 core PCE data printed at a soft 0.1% month-over-month, below consensus, reinforcing trader expectations for contained price pressures heading into the July release due August 26. July CPI figures showed core prices rising 0.2% month-over-month with the annual rate easing to 2.5%, the lowest in five months, amid slower shelter and services gains. These outcomes, combined with stable labor market conditions and no sharp acceleration in goods prices, underpin the market-implied 54.5% probability on a 0.2% July core PCE print and 28% on 0.3%. Broader moderation in year-over-year core PCE to 3.3% in June further supports the current pricing, though any upside surprise in services or shelter components could shift sentiment ahead of the BEA report.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Volumen
$29,723Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 core PCE data printed at a soft 0.1% month-over-month, below consensus, reinforcing trader expectations for contained price pressures heading into the July release due August 26. July CPI figures showed core prices rising 0.2% month-over-month with the annual rate easing to 2.5%, the lowest in five months, amid slower shelter and services gains. These outcomes, combined with stable labor market conditions and no sharp acceleration in goods prices, underpin the market-implied 54.5% probability on a 0.2% July core PCE print and 28% on 0.3%. Broader moderation in year-over-year core PCE to 3.3% in June further supports the current pricing, though any upside surprise in services or shelter components could shift sentiment ahead of the BEA report.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$29,723Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 core PCE data printed at a soft 0.1% month-over-month, below consensus, reinforcing trader expectations for contained price pressures heading into the July release due August 26. July CPI figures showed core prices rising 0.2% month-over-month with the annual rate easing to 2.5%, the lowest in five months, amid slower shelter and services gains. These outcomes, combined with stable labor market conditions and no sharp acceleration in goods prices, underpin the market-implied 54.5% probability on a 0.2% July core PCE print and 28% on 0.3%. Broader moderation in year-over-year core PCE to 3.3% in June further supports the current pricing, though any upside surprise in services or shelter components could shift sentiment ahead of the BEA report.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen