Austin Rogers leads the Florida 2nd Congressional District Republican primary field heading into the August 18 vote, supported by a late surge in polling that shows him at 25% while Keith Gross has dropped sharply to 8%. A recent co/efficient survey attributes Gross's decline to sustained attacks on his past Democratic affiliation and personal background, including an ad from a PAC tied to Rogers' relatives that was later pulled. Rogers, a Panama City attorney and former general counsel to Sen. Rick Scott, has secured endorsements from House leadership figures and maintains strong local ties. These factors have shaped trader consensus around his position as the probable nominee, with remaining candidates trailing significantly amid the crowded field and limited time before primary day.