Following a week of disruptive cold fronts and heavy rainfall that flooded parts of Cape Town through May 12, the South African Weather Service now forecasts fine to partly cloudy conditions on May 15 under post-frontal high pressure, with moderate southwesterly winds similar to today's projected 20°C maximum. Trader sentiment splits closely between 20°C (39.5%) and 19°C (34.5%) due to global model divergence: ECMWF ensembles imply 19°C amid persistent low stratocumulus cloud delaying diurnal heating, while GFS runs suggest 20°C with faster clearing. Differentiating factors include morning fog burn-off timing and sea breeze strength, both modulated by Table Mountain's orographic effects. Historical May averages hover near 20°C at Cape Town International Airport; intraday observations today will sharpen short-range guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
20°C 39%
19°C 34%
21°C 14%
18°C 3.0%
$12,815 Vol.
$12,815 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
34%
20°C
39%
21°C
14%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 39%
19°C 34%
21°C 14%
18°C 3.0%
$12,815 Vol.
$12,815 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
34%
20°C
39%
21°C
14%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following a week of disruptive cold fronts and heavy rainfall that flooded parts of Cape Town through May 12, the South African Weather Service now forecasts fine to partly cloudy conditions on May 15 under post-frontal high pressure, with moderate southwesterly winds similar to today's projected 20°C maximum. Trader sentiment splits closely between 20°C (39.5%) and 19°C (34.5%) due to global model divergence: ECMWF ensembles imply 19°C amid persistent low stratocumulus cloud delaying diurnal heating, while GFS runs suggest 20°C with faster clearing. Differentiating factors include morning fog burn-off timing and sea breeze strength, both modulated by Table Mountain's orographic effects. Historical May averages hover near 20°C at Cape Town International Airport; intraday observations today will sharpen short-range guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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