Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$69,597 Vol.
$69,597 Vol.
14. Mai 2026
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$69,597 Vol.
$69,597 Vol.
14. Mai 2026
37°F or below
$6,479 Vol.
No
38-39°F
$2,982 Vol.
No
40-41°F
$701 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$2,150 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$2,188 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$2,198 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$3,190 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$2,508 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$3,381 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$4,709 Vol.
No
56°F or higher
$39,110 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volumen
$69,597Enddatum
14. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$69,597Enddatum
14. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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