Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 74°F or higher in Denver on May 15, mirroring National Weather Service guidance and major model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting highs of 77–87°F under a persistent mid-level ridge axis centered over Colorado. This setup features anomalously warm 700-mb temperatures around 14–15°C, light winds, and mostly clear skies that minimize cloud cover and promote daytime heating, well above the mid-May climatological normal of about 70°F. Recent forecast discussions highlight high confidence from consistent hi-res model runs over the past 24 hours, with no signs of encroaching fronts. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloudiness or a faster ridge erosion, though probabilities remain low; watch evening NWS updates for final refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Denver on May 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 15?
74°F or higher 99.5%
72-73°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$44,980 Vol.
$44,980 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
100%
74°F or higher 99.5%
72-73°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$44,980 Vol.
$44,980 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 74°F or higher in Denver on May 15, mirroring National Weather Service guidance and major model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting highs of 77–87°F under a persistent mid-level ridge axis centered over Colorado. This setup features anomalously warm 700-mb temperatures around 14–15°C, light winds, and mostly clear skies that minimize cloud cover and promote daytime heating, well above the mid-May climatological normal of about 70°F. Recent forecast discussions highlight high confidence from consistent hi-res model runs over the past 24 hours, with no signs of encroaching fronts. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloudiness or a faster ridge erosion, though probabilities remain low; watch evening NWS updates for final refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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