National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favor a high near 78–79°F for Denver on May 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 50% implied probability. A strong upper-level ridge over the central Rockies is promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating from overnight lows near 55°F, with dry soils enhancing surface warming above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in the late afternoon. An approaching weak shortwave trough adds modest uncertainty that could limit highs to the mid-70s, prompting traders to watch the next 00z model runs and National Weather Service updates for any adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
76-77°F 52%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 9%
82-83°F <1%
$50,808 Vol.
$50,808 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 52%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 9%
82-83°F <1%
$50,808 Vol.
$50,808 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
66-67°F
$4,226 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,668 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,861 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,261 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$3,083 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,611 Vol.
52%
78-79°F
$2,542 Vol.
40%
80-81°F
$3,341 Vol.
9%
82-83°F
$4,527 Vol.
1%
84°F or higher
$5,378 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favor a high near 78–79°F for Denver on May 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 50% implied probability. A strong upper-level ridge over the central Rockies is promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating from overnight lows near 55°F, with dry soils enhancing surface warming above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in the late afternoon. An approaching weak shortwave trough adds modest uncertainty that could limit highs to the mid-70s, prompting traders to watch the next 00z model runs and National Weather Service updates for any adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$50,808Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favor a high near 78–79°F for Denver on May 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 50% implied probability. A strong upper-level ridge over the central Rockies is promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating from overnight lows near 55°F, with dry soils enhancing surface warming above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in the late afternoon. An approaching weak shortwave trough adds modest uncertainty that could limit highs to the mid-70s, prompting traders to watch the next 00z model runs and National Weather Service updates for any adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$50,808Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favor a high near 78–79°F for Denver on May 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 50% implied probability. A strong upper-level ridge over the central Rockies is promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating from overnight lows near 55°F, with dry soils enhancing surface warming above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in the late afternoon. An approaching weak shortwave trough adds modest uncertainty that could limit highs to the mid-70s, prompting traders to watch the next 00z model runs and National Weather Service updates for any adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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