Recent global forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System project a daytime maximum of 36–38 °C in Jeddah on May 17, driven by strong high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly flow that limits Red Sea moisture advection and promotes surface heating along the coastal plain. This consensus, aligned with above-average spring temperatures observed earlier in the month, underpins the 83.5 % implied probability for 37 °C or higher. Minor uncertainties remain around exact sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could cap the peak near 36 °C and account for the 11.5 % assigned to that outcome. Official observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport will determine resolution within 24 hours, with historical May maxima averaging 36–37 °C providing climatological context for the current market positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 17. Mai?
37°C oder höher 82%
36°C 12%
35°C 4.2%
34°C <1%
$41,418 Vol.
$41,418 Vol.
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
12%
37°C oder höher
82%
37°C oder höher 82%
36°C 12%
35°C 4.2%
34°C <1%
$41,418 Vol.
$41,418 Vol.
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
12%
37°C oder höher
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNRecent global forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System project a daytime maximum of 36–38 °C in Jeddah on May 17, driven by strong high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly flow that limits Red Sea moisture advection and promotes surface heating along the coastal plain. This consensus, aligned with above-average spring temperatures observed earlier in the month, underpins the 83.5 % implied probability for 37 °C or higher. Minor uncertainties remain around exact sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could cap the peak near 36 °C and account for the 11.5 % assigned to that outcome. Official observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport will determine resolution within 24 hours, with historical May maxima averaging 36–37 °C providing climatological context for the current market positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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