Strong model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts supports the near-certain market-implied odds for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 26. Late-August climatology in Shandong features average daily maxima of 28–31°C, with recent observations and ensemble runs projecting 30–35°C under typical summer conditions of high solar insolation, light winds, and minimal cloud cover. These temperatures align with established seasonal baselines where readings rarely dip below 26°C without a major synoptic shift. An unexpected cold front, persistent heavy rainfall, or anomalous cloud buildup could suppress maxima, though current guidance shows low probability of such developments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Jinan am 26. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Jinan am 26. August?
26°C or higher 99.7%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.7%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
16°C or below
$200 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$41 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts supports the near-certain market-implied odds for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 26. Late-August climatology in Shandong features average daily maxima of 28–31°C, with recent observations and ensemble runs projecting 30–35°C under typical summer conditions of high solar insolation, light winds, and minimal cloud cover. These temperatures align with established seasonal baselines where readings rarely dip below 26°C without a major synoptic shift. An unexpected cold front, persistent heavy rainfall, or anomalous cloud buildup could suppress maxima, though current guidance shows low probability of such developments before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$1,776Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts supports the near-certain market-implied odds for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 26. Late-August climatology in Shandong features average daily maxima of 28–31°C, with recent observations and ensemble runs projecting 30–35°C under typical summer conditions of high solar insolation, light winds, and minimal cloud cover. These temperatures align with established seasonal baselines where readings rarely dip below 26°C without a major synoptic shift. An unexpected cold front, persistent heavy rainfall, or anomalous cloud buildup could suppress maxima, though current guidance shows low probability of such developments before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,776Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts supports the near-certain market-implied odds for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 26. Late-August climatology in Shandong features average daily maxima of 28–31°C, with recent observations and ensemble runs projecting 30–35°C under typical summer conditions of high solar insolation, light winds, and minimal cloud cover. These temperatures align with established seasonal baselines where readings rarely dip below 26°C without a major synoptic shift. An unexpected cold front, persistent heavy rainfall, or anomalous cloud buildup could suppress maxima, though current guidance shows low probability of such developments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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