National Weather Service models and ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 76-77°F in New York City today under stable high pressure and light southerly flow that limits afternoon mixing. This consensus aligns with the market's 93% implied probability for that range, reflecting consistent guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs over the past 48 hours. Historical May averages near 70°F provide climatological context, while current dew-point and wind observations show no rapid warming signals. A shift in steering currents or unexpected boundary-layer heating could push readings into the upper 70s, though such adjustments remain low-probability before the afternoon verification window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 98.3%
78-79°F 1.3%
82-83°F <1%
84°F or higher <1%
$152,989 Vol.
$152,989 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
76-77°F
98%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 98.3%
78-79°F 1.3%
82-83°F <1%
84°F or higher <1%
$152,989 Vol.
$152,989 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
76-77°F
$33,066 Vol.
98%
78-79°F
$18,559 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$25,518 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$22,741 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$16,853 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service models and ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 76-77°F in New York City today under stable high pressure and light southerly flow that limits afternoon mixing. This consensus aligns with the market's 93% implied probability for that range, reflecting consistent guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs over the past 48 hours. Historical May averages near 70°F provide climatological context, while current dew-point and wind observations show no rapid warming signals. A shift in steering currents or unexpected boundary-layer heating could push readings into the upper 70s, though such adjustments remain low-probability before the afternoon verification window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$152,989Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service models and ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 76-77°F in New York City today under stable high pressure and light southerly flow that limits afternoon mixing. This consensus aligns with the market's 93% implied probability for that range, reflecting consistent guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs over the past 48 hours. Historical May averages near 70°F provide climatological context, while current dew-point and wind observations show no rapid warming signals. A shift in steering currents or unexpected boundary-layer heating could push readings into the upper 70s, though such adjustments remain low-probability before the afternoon verification window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$152,989Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service models and ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 76-77°F in New York City today under stable high pressure and light southerly flow that limits afternoon mixing. This consensus aligns with the market's 93% implied probability for that range, reflecting consistent guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs over the past 48 hours. Historical May averages near 70°F provide climatological context, while current dew-point and wind observations show no rapid warming signals. A shift in steering currents or unexpected boundary-layer heating could push readings into the upper 70s, though such adjustments remain low-probability before the afternoon verification window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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