Recent cool, rainy conditions across São Paulo, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light southerly winds, are anchoring trader focus on a modest daytime high for September 15. Multiple forecast models indicate a peak between 17–21°C amid light precipitation and limited solar heating, well below the September climatological average of 24–26°C. This setup favors the tightly clustered 19–20°C outcomes, with differentiation hinging on exact timing of any clearing, model spread in boundary-layer moisture, and official measurement protocols from agencies like INMET. Short-range updates overnight could shift probabilities if stronger mixing or reduced rainfall allows brief warming spikes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 15. September?
20°C 25%
19°C 23%
21°C 18%
18°C 14%
15°C oder darunter
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
14%
19°C
23%
20°C
25%
21°C
18%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C oder höher
1%
20°C 25%
19°C 23%
21°C 18%
18°C 14%
15°C oder darunter
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
14%
19°C
23%
20°C
25%
21°C
18%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent cool, rainy conditions across São Paulo, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light southerly winds, are anchoring trader focus on a modest daytime high for September 15. Multiple forecast models indicate a peak between 17–21°C amid light precipitation and limited solar heating, well below the September climatological average of 24–26°C. This setup favors the tightly clustered 19–20°C outcomes, with differentiation hinging on exact timing of any clearing, model spread in boundary-layer moisture, and official measurement protocols from agencies like INMET. Short-range updates overnight could shift probabilities if stronger mixing or reduced rainfall allows brief warming spikes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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