Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 31, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and residual cooling after a rare late-August rain system that passed the weekend. These conditions align closely with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain, where sea-breeze moderation and high pressure keep extremes in check absent a heat dome or strong subsidence. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 32°C reflect this model consensus and limited upside potential from any last-minute warming, while the small probability mass at 33°C+ accounts for residual forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Updated runs expected from the IMS and ECMWF in the next 48 hours will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 31. August?
32°C 63%
31°C 34%
30°C 7%
33°C 4%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
34%
32°C
63%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 63%
31°C 34%
30°C 7%
33°C 4%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$20 Vol.
2%
30°C
$30 Vol.
7%
31°C
$69 Vol.
34%
32°C
$100 Vol.
63%
33°C
$37 Vol.
4%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$146 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$271 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 31, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and residual cooling after a rare late-August rain system that passed the weekend. These conditions align closely with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain, where sea-breeze moderation and high pressure keep extremes in check absent a heat dome or strong subsidence. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 32°C reflect this model consensus and limited upside potential from any last-minute warming, while the small probability mass at 33°C+ accounts for residual forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Updated runs expected from the IMS and ECMWF in the next 48 hours will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,061Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 31, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and residual cooling after a rare late-August rain system that passed the weekend. These conditions align closely with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain, where sea-breeze moderation and high pressure keep extremes in check absent a heat dome or strong subsidence. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 32°C reflect this model consensus and limited upside potential from any last-minute warming, while the small probability mass at 33°C+ accounts for residual forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Updated runs expected from the IMS and ECMWF in the next 48 hours will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,061Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 31, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and residual cooling after a rare late-August rain system that passed the weekend. These conditions align closely with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain, where sea-breeze moderation and high pressure keep extremes in check absent a heat dome or strong subsidence. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 32°C reflect this model consensus and limited upside potential from any last-minute warming, while the small probability mass at 33°C+ accounts for residual forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing or insolation. Updated runs expected from the IMS and ECMWF in the next 48 hours will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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