Iran’s insistence that uranium enrichment constitutes an inalienable national right has kept indirect U.S.-mediated talks at an impasse through mid-May 2026. Recent Iranian proposals, including a May 10 offer to transfer portions of its highly enriched uranium stockpile abroad, stop short of any commitment to halt enrichment activities by the May 31 deadline. IAEA reporting continues to document ongoing expansion of Iran’s near-weapons-grade material, while U.S. demands for a multi-year moratorium or regional consortium model have been rejected as unbalanced. Without a sudden shift from Tehran’s leadership or a verified diplomatic breakthrough in the final two weeks, traders view the probability of a public agreement ending enrichment as extremely low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertStimmt der Iran zu, die Anreicherung von Uran bis zum 31. Mai zu beenden?
Stimmt der Iran zu, die Anreicherung von Uran bis zum 31. Mai zu beenden?
Ja
$621,327 Vol.
$621,327 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
Ja
$621,327 Vol.
$621,327 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s insistence that uranium enrichment constitutes an inalienable national right has kept indirect U.S.-mediated talks at an impasse through mid-May 2026. Recent Iranian proposals, including a May 10 offer to transfer portions of its highly enriched uranium stockpile abroad, stop short of any commitment to halt enrichment activities by the May 31 deadline. IAEA reporting continues to document ongoing expansion of Iran’s near-weapons-grade material, while U.S. demands for a multi-year moratorium or regional consortium model have been rejected as unbalanced. Without a sudden shift from Tehran’s leadership or a verified diplomatic breakthrough in the final two weeks, traders view the probability of a public agreement ending enrichment as extremely low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Volumen
$621,327Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s insistence that uranium enrichment constitutes an inalienable national right has kept indirect U.S.-mediated talks at an impasse through mid-May 2026. Recent Iranian proposals, including a May 10 offer to transfer portions of its highly enriched uranium stockpile abroad, stop short of any commitment to halt enrichment activities by the May 31 deadline. IAEA reporting continues to document ongoing expansion of Iran’s near-weapons-grade material, while U.S. demands for a multi-year moratorium or regional consortium model have been rejected as unbalanced. Without a sudden shift from Tehran’s leadership or a verified diplomatic breakthrough in the final two weeks, traders view the probability of a public agreement ending enrichment as extremely low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$621,327Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s insistence that uranium enrichment constitutes an inalienable national right has kept indirect U.S.-mediated talks at an impasse through mid-May 2026. Recent Iranian proposals, including a May 10 offer to transfer portions of its highly enriched uranium stockpile abroad, stop short of any commitment to halt enrichment activities by the May 31 deadline. IAEA reporting continues to document ongoing expansion of Iran’s near-weapons-grade material, while U.S. demands for a multi-year moratorium or regional consortium model have been rejected as unbalanced. Without a sudden shift from Tehran’s leadership or a verified diplomatic breakthrough in the final two weeks, traders view the probability of a public agreement ending enrichment as extremely low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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