Iran and Oman have held deputy foreign minister talks and discussed protocols for monitoring or jointly managing transit fees through the Strait of Hormuz amid the broader 2026 regional crisis, with Iran’s ambassador to Moscow stating on June 8 that the waterway would reopen under new bilateral conditions. However, these discussions remain at the exploratory or draft stage without evidence of a finalized accord, while facing explicit U.S. opposition to Iranian oversight or toll arrangements. With only six days remaining until the June 15 deadline, the absence of any scheduled signing or breakthrough announcement supports traders’ strong consensus against near-term resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
$16,292 Vol.
$16,292 Vol.
15. Juni 2026
$16,292 Vol.
$16,292 Vol.
15. Juni 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Iran and Oman have held deputy foreign minister talks and discussed protocols for monitoring or jointly managing transit fees through the Strait of Hormuz amid the broader 2026 regional crisis, with Iran’s ambassador to Moscow stating on June 8 that the waterway would reopen under new bilateral conditions. However, these discussions remain at the exploratory or draft stage without evidence of a finalized accord, while facing explicit U.S. opposition to Iranian oversight or toll arrangements. With only six days remaining until the June 15 deadline, the absence of any scheduled signing or breakthrough announcement supports traders’ strong consensus against near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Markt eröffnet: May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$16,292Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Iran and Oman have held deputy foreign minister talks and discussed protocols for monitoring or jointly managing transit fees through the Strait of Hormuz amid the broader 2026 regional crisis, with Iran’s ambassador to Moscow stating on June 8 that the waterway would reopen under new bilateral conditions. However, these discussions remain at the exploratory or draft stage without evidence of a finalized accord, while facing explicit U.S. opposition to Iranian oversight or toll arrangements. With only six days remaining until the June 15 deadline, the absence of any scheduled signing or breakthrough announcement supports traders’ strong consensus against near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$16,292Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran and Oman have held deputy foreign minister talks and discussed protocols for monitoring or jointly managing transit fees through the Strait of Hormuz amid the broader 2026 regional crisis, with Iran’s ambassador to Moscow stating on June 8 that the waterway would reopen under new bilateral conditions. However, these discussions remain at the exploratory or draft stage without evidence of a finalized accord, while facing explicit U.S. opposition to Iranian oversight or toll arrangements. With only six days remaining until the June 15 deadline, the absence of any scheduled signing or breakthrough announcement supports traders’ strong consensus against near-term resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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