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icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. September?

Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. September?

icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. September?

Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. September?

Sep. 14

Sep. 15

Sep. 16

Sep. 14

Sep. 15

Sep. 16

26°C 40%

27°C 35%

25°C 18%

24°C 6%

Polymarket
NEU

26°C 40%

27°C 35%

25°C 18%

24°C 6%

Polymarket
NEU

21°C oder darunter

$182 Vol.

1%

22°C

$182 Vol.

1%

23°C

$182 Vol.

1%

24°C

$120 Vol.

6%

25°C

$224 Vol.

18%

26°C

$157 Vol.

40%

27°C

$859 Vol.

35%

28°C

$279 Vol.

5%

29°C

$60 Vol.

2%

30°C

$172 Vol.

1%

31°C oder höher

$172 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow and partly cloudy conditions are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 26–27°C for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 15.** Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C under easterly winds of 4–8 m/s, moderate humidity near 80–95%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and dew-point depressions, which can shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical September minima average around 26°C, and current ensemble spreads show limited divergence, leaving 25°C and 27°C as plausible alternatives depending on the exact strength of the monsoon surge and any localized rain. Traders will watch the next HKO regional forecast updates and model runs for refinements before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,588
Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow and partly cloudy conditions are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 26–27°C for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 15.** Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C under easterly winds of 4–8 m/s, moderate humidity near 80–95%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and dew-point depressions, which can shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical September minima average around 26°C, and current ensemble spreads show limited divergence, leaving 25°C and 27°C as plausible alternatives depending on the exact strength of the monsoon surge and any localized rain. Traders will watch the next HKO regional forecast updates and model runs for refinements before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,588
Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. September 26°C betragen?

Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. September 26°C betragen?

88%
Ja
icon for Wird die tiefste Temperatur in Hongkong am 16. September 27 °C betragen?

Wird die tiefste Temperatur in Hongkong am 16. September 27 °C betragen?

37%
Ja
icon for Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Hongkong am 15. September 31°C betragen?

Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Hongkong am 15. September 31°C betragen?

31%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. September?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „26°C" mit 40%, gefolgt von „27°C" mit 35%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 40¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 40% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. September?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 13, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. September?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. September?" ist „26°C" mit 40%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 40% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „27°C" mit 35%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. September?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.