The market consensus at 72-73°F reflects National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming that minimum temperature on May 15. A dominant subtropical ridge maintained steady southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above long-term May climatology. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight agreement on this range, with no meaningful cold-front passage or enhanced boundary-layer mixing to drive sharper drops. While a late-season frontal intrusion could theoretically produce lower readings, current surface analyses and satellite imagery ruled out such developments, leaving only negligible probability on cooler brackets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F oder darunter <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$26,221 Vol.
$26,221 Vol.
67°F oder darunter
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Ja
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
No
86°F oder höher
Nein
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F oder darunter <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$26,221 Vol.
$26,221 Vol.
67°F oder darunter
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Ja
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
No
86°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
The market consensus at 72-73°F reflects National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming that minimum temperature on May 15. A dominant subtropical ridge maintained steady southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above long-term May climatology. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight agreement on this range, with no meaningful cold-front passage or enhanced boundary-layer mixing to drive sharper drops. While a late-season frontal intrusion could theoretically produce lower readings, current surface analyses and satellite imagery ruled out such developments, leaving only negligible probability on cooler brackets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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