National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded an overnight low of 72-73°F on May 15, locking in the market's near-certain consensus for that bracket. This outcome reflects standard subtropical May climatology, where persistent Atlantic and Gulf moisture maintained dew points near 72°F that limited radiational cooling beneath high pressure. Forecast models issued 24–48 hours earlier showed minimal deviation from these historical normals, and no cold-front passage or clear-sky enhancement occurred to drive greater heat loss. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability therefore rests on verified station data rather than speculation, though an unforecasted shift in steering flow or anomalous boundary-layer drying could have produced a lower reading within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F oder darunter <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$26,221 Vol.
$26,221 Vol.
67°F oder darunter
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
100%
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F oder darunter <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$26,221 Vol.
$26,221 Vol.
67°F oder darunter
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded an overnight low of 72-73°F on May 15, locking in the market's near-certain consensus for that bracket. This outcome reflects standard subtropical May climatology, where persistent Atlantic and Gulf moisture maintained dew points near 72°F that limited radiational cooling beneath high pressure. Forecast models issued 24–48 hours earlier showed minimal deviation from these historical normals, and no cold-front passage or clear-sky enhancement occurred to drive greater heat loss. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability therefore rests on verified station data rather than speculation, though an unforecasted shift in steering flow or anomalous boundary-layer drying could have produced a lower reading within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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