Current model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows near 16–18°C in Munich on August 30 amid clearing conditions after frontal passage on the 28th–29th, supporting trader focus on the 12–15°C range where probabilities cluster tightly. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and residual moisture from recent thunderstorms introduce modest downside risk to minima, while any increase in cloud cover or warmer advection would push readings toward the 16–17°C outcomes. Historical August 30 averages near 12.6°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors above-normal values with limited spread across ensemble members. Updated runs ahead of the 30th will refine dew-point and boundary-layer details that most directly separate the leading bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 30. August?
12°C or below 83%
14°C 30%
15°C 28%
16°C 26%
12°C or below
83%
13°C
15%
14°C
30%
15°C
28%
16°C
26%
17°C
10%
18°C
14%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
6%
12°C or below 83%
14°C 30%
15°C 28%
16°C 26%
12°C or below
83%
13°C
15%
14°C
30%
15°C
28%
16°C
26%
17°C
10%
18°C
14%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to overnight lows near 16–18°C in Munich on August 30 amid clearing conditions after frontal passage on the 28th–29th, supporting trader focus on the 12–15°C range where probabilities cluster tightly. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and residual moisture from recent thunderstorms introduce modest downside risk to minima, while any increase in cloud cover or warmer advection would push readings toward the 16–17°C outcomes. Historical August 30 averages near 12.6°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors above-normal values with limited spread across ensemble members. Updated runs ahead of the 30th will refine dew-point and boundary-layer details that most directly separate the leading bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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