The overwhelming trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for a 14°C low in Seoul on May 16 reflects converging short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models, which settled on an overnight minimum of exactly 14°C. Mostly clear skies combined with light southerly winds enabled efficient radiative cooling and limited urban heat retention, aligning with mid-May climatological norms where official Seoul Central Observatory records typically show lows between 12°C and 16°C. Recent drier air following earlier precipitation further supported this trajectory. A significant last-minute model revision or localized microclimate shift remains the only realistic scenario that could move the outcome outside the narrow 14°C band before final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 16. Mai?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 16. Mai?
14°C 99.8%
13°C oder darunter <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,372 Vol.
$48,372 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
13°C oder darunter
Nein
14°C
Ja
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C oder höher
Nein
14°C 99.8%
13°C oder darunter <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,372 Vol.
$48,372 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
13°C oder darunter
$2,664 Vol.
Nein
14°C
$5,169 Vol.
Ja
15°C
$19,720 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$2,462 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$2,520 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$2,683 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$3,988 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$1,686 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$1,464 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$1,090 Vol.
Nein
23°C oder höher
$4,928 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for a 14°C low in Seoul on May 16 reflects converging short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models, which settled on an overnight minimum of exactly 14°C. Mostly clear skies combined with light southerly winds enabled efficient radiative cooling and limited urban heat retention, aligning with mid-May climatological norms where official Seoul Central Observatory records typically show lows between 12°C and 16°C. Recent drier air following earlier precipitation further supported this trajectory. A significant last-minute model revision or localized microclimate shift remains the only realistic scenario that could move the outcome outside the narrow 14°C band before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$48,372Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for a 14°C low in Seoul on May 16 reflects converging short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models, which settled on an overnight minimum of exactly 14°C. Mostly clear skies combined with light southerly winds enabled efficient radiative cooling and limited urban heat retention, aligning with mid-May climatological norms where official Seoul Central Observatory records typically show lows between 12°C and 16°C. Recent drier air following earlier precipitation further supported this trajectory. A significant last-minute model revision or localized microclimate shift remains the only realistic scenario that could move the outcome outside the narrow 14°C band before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$48,372Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe overwhelming trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for a 14°C low in Seoul on May 16 reflects converging short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models, which settled on an overnight minimum of exactly 14°C. Mostly clear skies combined with light southerly winds enabled efficient radiative cooling and limited urban heat retention, aligning with mid-May climatological norms where official Seoul Central Observatory records typically show lows between 12°C and 16°C. Recent drier air following earlier precipitation further supported this trajectory. A significant last-minute model revision or localized microclimate shift remains the only realistic scenario that could move the outcome outside the narrow 14°C band before final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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