Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to overnight radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and high humidity during Shanghai's early Meiyu (plum rain) season, anchoring minimum temperatures near 20°C for June 14. This setup aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average lows range 20–22°C amid light rain and limited diurnal temperature swings. Forecasters note stable steering patterns and moisture advection that suppress sharper drops. The market's overwhelming 98.6% implied probability on 20°C reflects this agreement across ensemble runs. Clearer skies or an unexpected northerly intrusion could allow greater heat loss and push readings to 19°C or below, though current guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 14. Juni?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 14. Juni?
20°C 98.6%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C oder niedriger <1%
$54,073 Vol.
$54,073 Vol.
14. Juni 2026
17°C oder niedriger
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
20°C 98.6%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C oder niedriger <1%
$54,073 Vol.
$54,073 Vol.
14. Juni 2026
17°C oder niedriger
$2,214 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,540 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,568 Vol.
1%
20°C
$3,902 Vol.
99%
21°C
$6,849 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,841 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$7,623 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7,799 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,679 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,257 Vol.
<1%
27°C oder höher
$2,811 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to overnight radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and high humidity during Shanghai's early Meiyu (plum rain) season, anchoring minimum temperatures near 20°C for June 14. This setup aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average lows range 20–22°C amid light rain and limited diurnal temperature swings. Forecasters note stable steering patterns and moisture advection that suppress sharper drops. The market's overwhelming 98.6% implied probability on 20°C reflects this agreement across ensemble runs. Clearer skies or an unexpected northerly intrusion could allow greater heat loss and push readings to 19°C or below, though current guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$54,073Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to overnight radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and high humidity during Shanghai's early Meiyu (plum rain) season, anchoring minimum temperatures near 20°C for June 14. This setup aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average lows range 20–22°C amid light rain and limited diurnal temperature swings. Forecasters note stable steering patterns and moisture advection that suppress sharper drops. The market's overwhelming 98.6% implied probability on 20°C reflects this agreement across ensemble runs. Clearer skies or an unexpected northerly intrusion could allow greater heat loss and push readings to 19°C or below, though current guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$54,073Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to overnight radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and high humidity during Shanghai's early Meiyu (plum rain) season, anchoring minimum temperatures near 20°C for June 14. This setup aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average lows range 20–22°C amid light rain and limited diurnal temperature swings. Forecasters note stable steering patterns and moisture advection that suppress sharper drops. The market's overwhelming 98.6% implied probability on 20°C reflects this agreement across ensemble runs. Clearer skies or an unexpected northerly intrusion could allow greater heat loss and push readings to 19°C or below, though current guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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