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icon for Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Mato Grosso do Sul
Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Mato Grosso do Sul

icon for Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Mato Grosso do Sul
Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Mato Grosso do Sul

Eduardo Riedel 93%

Delcidio Amaral 5%

Ökonom Renato Gomes 2.1%

João Henrique Catan 1.0%

Polymarket
NEU

Eduardo Riedel 93%

Delcidio Amaral 5%

Ökonom Renato Gomes 2.1%

João Henrique Catan 1.0%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Eduardo Riedel

Eduardo Riedel

$1,613 Vol.

93%

icon for Delcidio Amaral

Delcidio Amaral

$216 Vol.

5%

icon for Ökonom Renato Gomes

Ökonom Renato Gomes

$247 Vol.

2%

icon for João Henrique Catan

João Henrique Catan

$173 Vol.

1%

icon for Jeferson Bezerra

Jeferson Bezerra

$193 Vol.

1%

icon for Fábio Trad

Fábio Trad

$203 Vol.

1%

icon for Daniel Lemes

Daniel Lemes

$176 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucien Rezende

Lucien Rezende

$196 Vol.

<1%

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent governor of Mato Grosso do Sul running under the PP banner, holds a commanding lead in recent state polling, including 44% in first-round scenarios and 54% against main challenger Fábio Trad (PT) in simulated runoffs, per August 2026 surveys from Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil. Traders reflect this through his 94.5% implied probability, driven by incumbency advantages, sustained approval ratings around 67%, and limited opposition fragmentation ahead of the October 4 first round. Key supporting dynamics include Riedel's established alliances and governance record since his 2022 victory. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign scandals, significant economic downturns in agribusiness-dependent sectors, or unexpected opposition consolidation that narrows his margins below historical re-election thresholds for sitting Brazilian state executives.

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$3,017
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent governor of Mato Grosso do Sul running under the PP banner, holds a commanding lead in recent state polling, including 44% in first-round scenarios and 54% against main challenger Fábio Trad (PT) in simulated runoffs, per August 2026 surveys from Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil. Traders reflect this through his 94.5% implied probability, driven by incumbency advantages, sustained approval ratings around 67%, and limited opposition fragmentation ahead of the October 4 first round. Key supporting dynamics include Riedel's established alliances and governance record since his 2022 victory. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign scandals, significant economic downturns in agribusiness-dependent sectors, or unexpected opposition consolidation that narrows his margins below historical re-election thresholds for sitting Brazilian state executives.

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$3,017
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Wellington Fagundes die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in Mato Grosso gewinnen?

Wird Wellington Fagundes die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in Mato Grosso gewinnen?

47%
Ja
icon for Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

61%
icon for Wird Reinaldo Azambuja bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Mato Grosso do Sul die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Reinaldo Azambuja bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Mato Grosso do Sul die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

64%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Mato Grosso do Sul" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Eduardo Riedel" mit 93%, gefolgt von „Delcidio Amaral" mit 5%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 93¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 93% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Mato Grosso do Sul" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Mato Grosso do Sul" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Mato Grosso do Sul" ist „Eduardo Riedel" mit 93%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 93% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Delcidio Amaral" mit 5%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Mato Grosso do Sul" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.