Donavan McKinney defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar by 51.9% to 48.1% in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District, producing an unofficial margin of roughly 3.8 percentage points from more than 111,000 votes cast. The narrow result stems from a well-funded progressive challenge by the state representative against the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic Detroit-area seat, with turnout patterns and late-deciding blocs keeping the contest within a few points until final tallies. Trader pricing remains split between a sub-4% McKinney win and broader “other” outcomes because certification, provisional ballots, and any residual counting in Wayne County could still adjust the exact spread without altering the winner. Historical primary margins in similar urban districts and the absence of a recount trigger to date keep probabilities concentrated on a tight finish.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMcKinney 16%+ 3.9%
Thanedar <4% <1%
McKinney 12–16 % <1%
McKinney 8–12 % <1%
$15,556 Vol.
$15,556 Vol.
4. Aug. 2026
McKinney 16%+
4%
McKinney 12–16 %
<1%
McKinney 8–12 %
<1%
McKinney 4–8 %
37%
McKinney <4%
54%
Thanedar <4%
1%
Thanedar 4–8 %
<1%
McKinney 16%+ 3.9%
Thanedar <4% <1%
McKinney 12–16 % <1%
McKinney 8–12 % <1%
$15,556 Vol.
$15,556 Vol.
4. Aug. 2026
McKinney 16%+
$3,999 Vol.
4%
McKinney 12–16 %
$2,811 Vol.
<1%
McKinney 8–12 %
$617 Vol.
<1%
McKinney 4–8 %
$708 Vol.
37%
McKinney <4%
$2,677 Vol.
54%
Thanedar <4%
$2,557 Vol.
1%
Thanedar 4–8 %
$740 Vol.
<1%
The MI-13 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MI-13 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Donavan McKinney defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar by 51.9% to 48.1% in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District, producing an unofficial margin of roughly 3.8 percentage points from more than 111,000 votes cast. The narrow result stems from a well-funded progressive challenge by the state representative against the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic Detroit-area seat, with turnout patterns and late-deciding blocs keeping the contest within a few points until final tallies. Trader pricing remains split between a sub-4% McKinney win and broader “other” outcomes because certification, provisional ballots, and any residual counting in Wayne County could still adjust the exact spread without altering the winner. Historical primary margins in similar urban districts and the absence of a recount trigger to date keep probabilities concentrated on a tight finish.
The MI-13 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MI-13 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MI-13 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 27, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Volumen
$15,556Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 27, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The MI-13 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MI-13 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Donavan McKinney defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar by 51.9% to 48.1% in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District, producing an unofficial margin of roughly 3.8 percentage points from more than 111,000 votes cast. The narrow result stems from a well-funded progressive challenge by the state representative against the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic Detroit-area seat, with turnout patterns and late-deciding blocs keeping the contest within a few points until final tallies. Trader pricing remains split between a sub-4% McKinney win and broader “other” outcomes because certification, provisional ballots, and any residual counting in Wayne County could still adjust the exact spread without altering the winner. Historical primary margins in similar urban districts and the absence of a recount trigger to date keep probabilities concentrated on a tight finish.
The MI-13 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MI-13 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MI-13 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$15,556Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 27, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Donavan McKinney defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar by 51.9% to 48.1% in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District, producing an unofficial margin of roughly 3.8 percentage points from more than 111,000 votes cast. The narrow result stems from a well-funded progressive challenge by the state representative against the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic Detroit-area seat, with turnout patterns and late-deciding blocs keeping the contest within a few points until final tallies. Trader pricing remains split between a sub-4% McKinney win and broader “other” outcomes because certification, provisional ballots, and any residual counting in Wayne County could still adjust the exact spread without altering the winner. Historical primary margins in similar urban districts and the absence of a recount trigger to date keep probabilities concentrated on a tight finish.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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