Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating primary challengers with roughly 72% of the vote, preserving his position in the heavily Democratic Bronx-based district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Torres’s prior victories by margins exceeding 50 points and the district’s partisan composition. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and several minor-party candidates face structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though improbable late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-15 Wahlsieger
NY-15 Wahlsieger
$46,403 Vol.
$46,403 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
99%
Republikanische Partei
<1%
$46,403 Vol.
$46,403 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$27,077 Vol.
99%
Republikanische Partei
$19,327 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating primary challengers with roughly 72% of the vote, preserving his position in the heavily Democratic Bronx-based district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Torres’s prior victories by margins exceeding 50 points and the district’s partisan composition. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and several minor-party candidates face structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though improbable late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$46,403Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating primary challengers with roughly 72% of the vote, preserving his position in the heavily Democratic Bronx-based district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Torres’s prior victories by margins exceeding 50 points and the district’s partisan composition. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and several minor-party candidates face structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though improbable late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$46,403Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating primary challengers with roughly 72% of the vote, preserving his position in the heavily Democratic Bronx-based district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Torres’s prior victories by margins exceeding 50 points and the district’s partisan composition. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and several minor-party candidates face structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though improbable late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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