Recent polling has held the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 15-16% support, with particular strength in the Quebec City area where the party leads or contends in multiple ridings under the new 127-seat map. Seat projections cluster between roughly 7 and 18, reflecting uncertainty over vote efficiency in three-way and four-way contests against the declining CAQ and rebounding Liberals. Trader ranges around 8-13 seats capture this volatility, as small shifts in regional turnout or late-campaign movement could alter outcomes in tight Beauce and Chaudière-Appalaches ridings. Upcoming debates and final-week polling may clarify whether the party secures a larger beachhead or remains limited by split opposition votes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert8-10 29%
11-13 21%
5-7 13%
17+ 12.7%
NEU
NEU
5. Okt. 2026
<5
4%
5-7
13%
8-10
29%
11-13
21%
14-16
6%
17+
15%
8-10 29%
11-13 21%
5-7 13%
17+ 12.7%
NEU
NEU
5. Okt. 2026
<5
$1,969 Vol.
4%
5-7
$838 Vol.
13%
8-10
$1,323 Vol.
29%
11-13
$1,419 Vol.
21%
14-16
$995 Vol.
6%
17+
$977 Vol.
15%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling has held the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 15-16% support, with particular strength in the Quebec City area where the party leads or contends in multiple ridings under the new 127-seat map. Seat projections cluster between roughly 7 and 18, reflecting uncertainty over vote efficiency in three-way and four-way contests against the declining CAQ and rebounding Liberals. Trader ranges around 8-13 seats capture this volatility, as small shifts in regional turnout or late-campaign movement could alter outcomes in tight Beauce and Chaudière-Appalaches ridings. Upcoming debates and final-week polling may clarify whether the party secures a larger beachhead or remains limited by split opposition votes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Volumen
$7,521Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling has held the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 15-16% support, with particular strength in the Quebec City area where the party leads or contends in multiple ridings under the new 127-seat map. Seat projections cluster between roughly 7 and 18, reflecting uncertainty over vote efficiency in three-way and four-way contests against the declining CAQ and rebounding Liberals. Trader ranges around 8-13 seats capture this volatility, as small shifts in regional turnout or late-campaign movement could alter outcomes in tight Beauce and Chaudière-Appalaches ridings. Upcoming debates and final-week polling may clarify whether the party secures a larger beachhead or remains limited by split opposition votes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$7,521Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling has held the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 15-16% support, with particular strength in the Quebec City area where the party leads or contends in multiple ridings under the new 127-seat map. Seat projections cluster between roughly 7 and 18, reflecting uncertainty over vote efficiency in three-way and four-way contests against the declining CAQ and rebounding Liberals. Trader ranges around 8-13 seats capture this volatility, as small shifts in regional turnout or late-campaign movement could alter outcomes in tight Beauce and Chaudière-Appalaches ridings. Upcoming debates and final-week polling may clarify whether the party secures a larger beachhead or remains limited by split opposition votes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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