Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent seeking re-election as Sergipe governor, holds the clearest lead in recent polling averages and benefits from established name recognition, administrative resources, and broad party alliances ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Multiple July-August surveys show him at 37-46% in stimulated scenarios against main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, with margins often exceeding 10 points and some projections indicating a possible first-round majority. The remaining candidates, including Ricardo Marques of the PL, Emanuel Cacho of the PSDB, Dr. Helton of the PSOL, and Taty Cristina of the DC, register low single-digit or negligible support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these patterns, though the final outcome remains subject to turnout, late campaign dynamics, and any shifts in the two-round system.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFábio 73%
Valmir de Francisquinho 18%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
$10,749 Vol.
$10,749 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Fábio
73%
Valmir de Francisquinho
18%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
1%
Emanuel Cacho
1%
Dr. Helton
<1%
Ricardo Marques
<1%
Fábio 73%
Valmir de Francisquinho 18%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
$10,749 Vol.
$10,749 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Fábio
$8,247 Vol.
73%
Valmir de Francisquinho
$941 Vol.
18%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
$330 Vol.
1%
Emanuel Cacho
$391 Vol.
1%
Dr. Helton
$455 Vol.
<1%
Ricardo Marques
$385 Vol.
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent seeking re-election as Sergipe governor, holds the clearest lead in recent polling averages and benefits from established name recognition, administrative resources, and broad party alliances ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Multiple July-August surveys show him at 37-46% in stimulated scenarios against main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, with margins often exceeding 10 points and some projections indicating a possible first-round majority. The remaining candidates, including Ricardo Marques of the PL, Emanuel Cacho of the PSDB, Dr. Helton of the PSOL, and Taty Cristina of the DC, register low single-digit or negligible support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these patterns, though the final outcome remains subject to turnout, late campaign dynamics, and any shifts in the two-round system.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volumen
$10,749Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent seeking re-election as Sergipe governor, holds the clearest lead in recent polling averages and benefits from established name recognition, administrative resources, and broad party alliances ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Multiple July-August surveys show him at 37-46% in stimulated scenarios against main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, with margins often exceeding 10 points and some projections indicating a possible first-round majority. The remaining candidates, including Ricardo Marques of the PL, Emanuel Cacho of the PSDB, Dr. Helton of the PSOL, and Taty Cristina of the DC, register low single-digit or negligible support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these patterns, though the final outcome remains subject to turnout, late campaign dynamics, and any shifts in the two-round system.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$10,749Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent seeking re-election as Sergipe governor, holds the clearest lead in recent polling averages and benefits from established name recognition, administrative resources, and broad party alliances ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Multiple July-August surveys show him at 37-46% in stimulated scenarios against main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, with margins often exceeding 10 points and some projections indicating a possible first-round majority. The remaining candidates, including Ricardo Marques of the PL, Emanuel Cacho of the PSDB, Dr. Helton of the PSOL, and Taty Cristina of the DC, register low single-digit or negligible support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these patterns, though the final outcome remains subject to turnout, late campaign dynamics, and any shifts in the two-round system.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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