The closely matched probabilities for August 2026 core CPI year-over-year—led by 2.4% at 38.5% and 2.3% at 34%—reflect trader focus on continued moderation following July’s 2.5% print, which matched consensus and eased from 2.6% in June. Recent data show shelter costs slowing to a 3.2% annual pace alongside softer readings in medical care, recreation, and household furnishings, supporting the view that underlying disinflation persists despite tariff and energy supply shocks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place August core CPI near 2.38%, while analyst models anticipate a 0.2% monthly increase that would translate to roughly 2.4% year-over-year. With the next FOMC meeting and August CPI release approaching, markets are balancing these cooling signals against risks of reacceleration from geopolitical factors and AI-driven demand.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2,4% 39%
2,3% 34%
2.5% 21%
2,7% 5.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
≤2,0%
1%
2,1%
1%
2,2%
4%
2,3%
34%
2,4%
39%
2.5%
21%
2,6%
4%
2,7%
6%
2,8%
3%
≥2,9%
1%
2,4% 39%
2,3% 34%
2.5% 21%
2,7% 5.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
≤2,0%
$335 Vol.
1%
2,1%
$274 Vol.
1%
2,2%
$375 Vol.
4%
2,3%
$373 Vol.
34%
2,4%
$2,329 Vol.
39%
2.5%
$231 Vol.
21%
2,6%
$878 Vol.
4%
2,7%
$753 Vol.
6%
2,8%
$881 Vol.
3%
≥2,9%
$421 Vol.
1%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The closely matched probabilities for August 2026 core CPI year-over-year—led by 2.4% at 38.5% and 2.3% at 34%—reflect trader focus on continued moderation following July’s 2.5% print, which matched consensus and eased from 2.6% in June. Recent data show shelter costs slowing to a 3.2% annual pace alongside softer readings in medical care, recreation, and household furnishings, supporting the view that underlying disinflation persists despite tariff and energy supply shocks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place August core CPI near 2.38%, while analyst models anticipate a 0.2% monthly increase that would translate to roughly 2.4% year-over-year. With the next FOMC meeting and August CPI release approaching, markets are balancing these cooling signals against risks of reacceleration from geopolitical factors and AI-driven demand.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Volumen
$6,852Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The closely matched probabilities for August 2026 core CPI year-over-year—led by 2.4% at 38.5% and 2.3% at 34%—reflect trader focus on continued moderation following July’s 2.5% print, which matched consensus and eased from 2.6% in June. Recent data show shelter costs slowing to a 3.2% annual pace alongside softer readings in medical care, recreation, and household furnishings, supporting the view that underlying disinflation persists despite tariff and energy supply shocks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place August core CPI near 2.38%, while analyst models anticipate a 0.2% monthly increase that would translate to roughly 2.4% year-over-year. With the next FOMC meeting and August CPI release approaching, markets are balancing these cooling signals against risks of reacceleration from geopolitical factors and AI-driven demand.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$6,852Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities for August 2026 core CPI year-over-year—led by 2.4% at 38.5% and 2.3% at 34%—reflect trader focus on continued moderation following July’s 2.5% print, which matched consensus and eased from 2.6% in June. Recent data show shelter costs slowing to a 3.2% annual pace alongside softer readings in medical care, recreation, and household furnishings, supporting the view that underlying disinflation persists despite tariff and energy supply shocks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place August core CPI near 2.38%, while analyst models anticipate a 0.2% monthly increase that would translate to roughly 2.4% year-over-year. With the next FOMC meeting and August CPI release approaching, markets are balancing these cooling signals against risks of reacceleration from geopolitical factors and AI-driven demand.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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