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Política·Canadá

Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec

icon for Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec
Política·Canadá

Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec

Mathieu Rivest 42%

Valérie Hamel 27%

Nancy St-Pierre 25%

Frédéric Poulin 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Mathieu Rivest 42%

Valérie Hamel 27%

Nancy St-Pierre 25%

Frédéric Poulin 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Mathieu Rivest

Mathieu Rivest

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Valérie Hamel

Valérie Hamel

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Nancy St-Pierre

Nancy St-Pierre

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Frédéric Poulin

Frédéric Poulin

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight trader consensus around Mathieu Rivest (CAQ incumbent at 42.5%), Valérie Hamel (PQ at 26%), Frédéric Poulin (PCQ at 25.5%), and Nancy St-Pierre (PLQ at 24%) reflects a fragmented riding where provincial polling trends show CAQ, PQ, and PCQ support clustered within a few points. Rivest won comfortably in 2022, but recent models project a much narrower margin amid broader erosion of CAQ strength and gains for PQ and PCQ in the Bas-Saint-Laurent region. The October 5 election date and ongoing campaign, with candidates confirmed since early August, keep probabilities closely matched as no single party has established a decisive local advantage. Further separation could emerge from late polling shifts, party leader visits, or voter reaction to regional issues such as health-care access and economic development.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight trader consensus around Mathieu Rivest (CAQ incumbent at 42.5%), Valérie Hamel (PQ at 26%), Frédéric Poulin (PCQ at 25.5%), and Nancy St-Pierre (PLQ at 24%) reflects a fragmented riding where provincial polling trends show CAQ, PQ, and PCQ support clustered within a few points. Rivest won comfortably in 2022, but recent models project a much narrower margin amid broader erosion of CAQ strength and gains for PQ and PCQ in the Bas-Saint-Laurent region. The October 5 election date and ongoing campaign, with candidates confirmed since early August, keep probabilities closely matched as no single party has established a decisive local advantage. Further separation could emerge from late polling shifts, party leader visits, or voter reaction to regional issues such as health-care access and economic development.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mathieu Rivest" con 42%, seguido de "Valérie Hamel" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 42¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es "Mathieu Rivest" con 42%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Valérie Hamel" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.