Bipartisan recognition of Section 702's role in foreign intelligence collection has produced repeated short-term extensions through late April and into mid-June 2026, keeping the authority operational while longer-term legislation advances. The House cleared a three-year reauthorization measure in late April, reflecting institutional priority on uninterrupted surveillance of overseas targets even amid debates over warrant requirements for U.S. person queries. Senate action on the current 45-day extension window remains the primary near-term hurdle, yet historical patterns of eventual renewal and administration backing support the elevated trader consensus reflected in the 98.6% Yes pricing. Disruptions could still arise from procedural delays, last-minute reform amendments, or unrelated legislative riders, though no such obstacles have materialized to shift the implied probability materially.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$40,922 Vol.
$40,922 Vol.
30 abr 2026
$40,922 Vol.
$40,922 Vol.
30 abr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bipartisan recognition of Section 702's role in foreign intelligence collection has produced repeated short-term extensions through late April and into mid-June 2026, keeping the authority operational while longer-term legislation advances. The House cleared a three-year reauthorization measure in late April, reflecting institutional priority on uninterrupted surveillance of overseas targets even amid debates over warrant requirements for U.S. person queries. Senate action on the current 45-day extension window remains the primary near-term hurdle, yet historical patterns of eventual renewal and administration backing support the elevated trader consensus reflected in the 98.6% Yes pricing. Disruptions could still arise from procedural delays, last-minute reform amendments, or unrelated legislative riders, though no such obstacles have materialized to shift the implied probability materially.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Volumen
$40,922Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bipartisan recognition of Section 702's role in foreign intelligence collection has produced repeated short-term extensions through late April and into mid-June 2026, keeping the authority operational while longer-term legislation advances. The House cleared a three-year reauthorization measure in late April, reflecting institutional priority on uninterrupted surveillance of overseas targets even amid debates over warrant requirements for U.S. person queries. Senate action on the current 45-day extension window remains the primary near-term hurdle, yet historical patterns of eventual renewal and administration backing support the elevated trader consensus reflected in the 98.6% Yes pricing. Disruptions could still arise from procedural delays, last-minute reform amendments, or unrelated legislative riders, though no such obstacles have materialized to shift the implied probability materially.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$40,922Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan recognition of Section 702's role in foreign intelligence collection has produced repeated short-term extensions through late April and into mid-June 2026, keeping the authority operational while longer-term legislation advances. The House cleared a three-year reauthorization measure in late April, reflecting institutional priority on uninterrupted surveillance of overseas targets even amid debates over warrant requirements for U.S. person queries. Senate action on the current 45-day extension window remains the primary near-term hurdle, yet historical patterns of eventual renewal and administration backing support the elevated trader consensus reflected in the 98.6% Yes pricing. Disruptions could still arise from procedural delays, last-minute reform amendments, or unrelated legislative riders, though no such obstacles have materialized to shift the implied probability materially.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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