Recent official forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and ECMWF ensemble models indicate a highest temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam on May 17, driven by persistent northwest winds, widespread cloud cover, and cool maritime air that limit afternoon warming. These conditions have suppressed daytime highs below the May climatological average of 16–18°C, with early observations near 8–10°C aligning closely with model runs. Minor uncertainty around brief sunshine breaks supports the secondary 15°C outcome, while stronger consensus on limited clearing keeps higher thresholds like 16°C or above at very low implied probabilities. Updated hourly data from Schiphol Airport and afternoon model revisions will refine the final peak before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 17 de mayo?
14°C 91%
15°C 5%
16°C 1.1%
17°C <1%
$23,433 Vol.
$23,433 Vol.
17 may 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
91%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 91%
15°C 5%
16°C 1.1%
17°C <1%
$23,433 Vol.
$23,433 Vol.
17 may 2026
10°C or below
$1,678 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,627 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,132 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$3,419 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$4,292 Vol.
91%
15°C
$3,302 Vol.
5%
16°C
$2,525 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,960 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,551 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$942 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$431 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and ECMWF ensemble models indicate a highest temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam on May 17, driven by persistent northwest winds, widespread cloud cover, and cool maritime air that limit afternoon warming. These conditions have suppressed daytime highs below the May climatological average of 16–18°C, with early observations near 8–10°C aligning closely with model runs. Minor uncertainty around brief sunshine breaks supports the secondary 15°C outcome, while stronger consensus on limited clearing keeps higher thresholds like 16°C or above at very low implied probabilities. Updated hourly data from Schiphol Airport and afternoon model revisions will refine the final peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$23,433Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and ECMWF ensemble models indicate a highest temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam on May 17, driven by persistent northwest winds, widespread cloud cover, and cool maritime air that limit afternoon warming. These conditions have suppressed daytime highs below the May climatological average of 16–18°C, with early observations near 8–10°C aligning closely with model runs. Minor uncertainty around brief sunshine breaks supports the secondary 15°C outcome, while stronger consensus on limited clearing keeps higher thresholds like 16°C or above at very low implied probabilities. Updated hourly data from Schiphol Airport and afternoon model revisions will refine the final peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,433Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMRecent official forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and ECMWF ensemble models indicate a highest temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam on May 17, driven by persistent northwest winds, widespread cloud cover, and cool maritime air that limit afternoon warming. These conditions have suppressed daytime highs below the May climatological average of 16–18°C, with early observations near 8–10°C aligning closely with model runs. Minor uncertainty around brief sunshine breaks supports the secondary 15°C outcome, while stronger consensus on limited clearing keeps higher thresholds like 16°C or above at very low implied probabilities. Updated hourly data from Schiphol Airport and afternoon model revisions will refine the final peak before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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