Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from official agencies indicate a daily high of 19°C in Beijing today, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high pressure and limited moisture, align with historical May patterns where temperatures typically peak in the mid-20s Celsius but have moderated due to regional wind patterns and cloud cover. This positions the consensus firmly at 19°C, reflecting traders' assessment of real-time data from ground stations and numerical weather prediction ensembles. Minor deviations could occur if unexpected afternoon heating or measurement adjustments at Beijing Capital International Airport push readings across the threshold, though model agreement leaves little room for such shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 17 de mayo?
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$134,751 Vol.
$134,751 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$134,751 Vol.
$134,751 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAARecent meteorological observations and forecast models from official agencies indicate a daily high of 19°C in Beijing today, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high pressure and limited moisture, align with historical May patterns where temperatures typically peak in the mid-20s Celsius but have moderated due to regional wind patterns and cloud cover. This positions the consensus firmly at 19°C, reflecting traders' assessment of real-time data from ground stations and numerical weather prediction ensembles. Minor deviations could occur if unexpected afternoon heating or measurement adjustments at Beijing Capital International Airport push readings across the threshold, though model agreement leaves little room for such shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes