Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate a daily maximum temperature of 19°C on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and a moderating southerly flow that limits daytime heating. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble outputs from global models show suppressed thermal profiles consistent with these conditions, placing the outcome well within historical May variability for similar synoptic setups. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model consensus, though minor upward revisions remain possible if rain bands clear earlier than projected or if localized urban heat-island effects push readings marginally higher at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 17 de mayo?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,840 Vol.
$141,840 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,840 Vol.
$141,840 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate a daily maximum temperature of 19°C on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and a moderating southerly flow that limits daytime heating. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble outputs from global models show suppressed thermal profiles consistent with these conditions, placing the outcome well within historical May variability for similar synoptic setups. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model consensus, though minor upward revisions remain possible if rain bands clear earlier than projected or if localized urban heat-island effects push readings marginally higher at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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