Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Western Cape, supporting a daytime maximum of 20°C in Cape Town on May 17 under mostly sunny autumn skies with light southeasterly winds. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs range 18–21°C and sea surface temperatures near 17°C limit rapid warming. Market-implied odds near 99% for 20°C reflect trader consensus on these verified observations and minimal model spread, though an unexpected shift in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could still push readings to 21°C if afternoon heating exceeds current projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 17 de mayo?
20°C 99.4%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
24°C o más <1%
$17,863 Vol.
$17,863 Vol.
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
99%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
1%
20°C 99.4%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
24°C o más <1%
$17,863 Vol.
$17,863 Vol.
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
99%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTRecent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Western Cape, supporting a daytime maximum of 20°C in Cape Town on May 17 under mostly sunny autumn skies with light southeasterly winds. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs range 18–21°C and sea surface temperatures near 17°C limit rapid warming. Market-implied odds near 99% for 20°C reflect trader consensus on these verified observations and minimal model spread, though an unexpected shift in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could still push readings to 21°C if afternoon heating exceeds current projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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