The overwhelming market consensus on a 27°C high in Hong Kong on May 15 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. These weather patterns typically bring clear skies and light winds in mid-May, allowing daytime solar heating to reach seasonal norms of 26–28°C without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. Traders are weighting the verified observational data heavily, as historical records show similar May maxima occur frequently in the absence of tropical moisture or typhoon influences. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the outcome, though such revisions remain rare for this well-monitored urban site.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 15 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 15 de mayo?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C o menos <1%
20°C <1%
$292,433 Vol.
$292,433 Vol.
15 may 2026
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C o más
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C o menos <1%
20°C <1%
$292,433 Vol.
$292,433 Vol.
15 may 2026
19°C o menos
$3,583 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$89,457 Vol.
100%
28°C
$45,405 Vol.
<1%
29°C o más
$35,849 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus on a 27°C high in Hong Kong on May 15 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. These weather patterns typically bring clear skies and light winds in mid-May, allowing daytime solar heating to reach seasonal norms of 26–28°C without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. Traders are weighting the verified observational data heavily, as historical records show similar May maxima occur frequently in the absence of tropical moisture or typhoon influences. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the outcome, though such revisions remain rare for this well-monitored urban site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$292,433Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus on a 27°C high in Hong Kong on May 15 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. These weather patterns typically bring clear skies and light winds in mid-May, allowing daytime solar heating to reach seasonal norms of 26–28°C without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. Traders are weighting the verified observational data heavily, as historical records show similar May maxima occur frequently in the absence of tropical moisture or typhoon influences. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the outcome, though such revisions remain rare for this well-monitored urban site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$292,433Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming market consensus on a 27°C high in Hong Kong on May 15 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. These weather patterns typically bring clear skies and light winds in mid-May, allowing daytime solar heating to reach seasonal norms of 26–28°C without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. Traders are weighting the verified observational data heavily, as historical records show similar May maxima occur frequently in the absence of tropical moisture or typhoon influences. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the outcome, though such revisions remain rare for this well-monitored urban site.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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