Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London today under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, anchoring the market's 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Official observations show stable atmospheric conditions with limited diurnal heating potential and no strong warm advection from the Atlantic, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal averages near 18°C rather than the broader May range of 15–22°C. A sudden increase in insolation from clearing skies or a shift in steering winds could push readings to 19°C or higher, while persistent low cloud or cooler northerly flow might cap the high at 17°C, though model consensus indicates low likelihood for such deviations before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 17 de mayo?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$166,230 Vol.
$166,230 Vol.
17 may 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$166,230 Vol.
$166,230 Vol.
17 may 2026
10°C or below
$997 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,915 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$8,287 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$12,717 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$13,369 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$19,210 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$26,801 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$35,917 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$20,529 Vol.
100%
19°C
$19,969 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,601 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London today under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, anchoring the market's 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Official observations show stable atmospheric conditions with limited diurnal heating potential and no strong warm advection from the Atlantic, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal averages near 18°C rather than the broader May range of 15–22°C. A sudden increase in insolation from clearing skies or a shift in steering winds could push readings to 19°C or higher, while persistent low cloud or cooler northerly flow might cap the high at 17°C, though model consensus indicates low likelihood for such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$166,230Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London today under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, anchoring the market's 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Official observations show stable atmospheric conditions with limited diurnal heating potential and no strong warm advection from the Atlantic, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal averages near 18°C rather than the broader May range of 15–22°C. A sudden increase in insolation from clearing skies or a shift in steering winds could push readings to 19°C or higher, while persistent low cloud or cooler northerly flow might cap the high at 17°C, though model consensus indicates low likelihood for such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$166,230Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London today under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, anchoring the market's 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Official observations show stable atmospheric conditions with limited diurnal heating potential and no strong warm advection from the Atlantic, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal averages near 18°C rather than the broader May range of 15–22°C. A sudden increase in insolation from clearing skies or a shift in steering winds could push readings to 19°C or higher, while persistent low cloud or cooler northerly flow might cap the high at 17°C, though model consensus indicates low likelihood for such deviations before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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