Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum near 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. This alignment reflects typical mid-May climatology for southeast England, where surface heating remains modest amid variable cloud cover and Atlantic air masses. Minor model spreads in afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically allow a brief push to 19°C, yet current guidance keeps higher readings unlikely. Official hourly observations from the London City Airport station will confirm the peak once final data are verified, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window for this short-range temperature resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 17 de mayo?
18°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,383 Vol.
$158,383 Vol.
17 may 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,383 Vol.
$158,383 Vol.
17 may 2026
10°C or below
$997 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,915 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$8,287 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$12,717 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$13,308 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$19,210 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$26,720 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$30,287 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$19,146 Vol.
100%
19°C
$19,232 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,601 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum near 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. This alignment reflects typical mid-May climatology for southeast England, where surface heating remains modest amid variable cloud cover and Atlantic air masses. Minor model spreads in afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically allow a brief push to 19°C, yet current guidance keeps higher readings unlikely. Official hourly observations from the London City Airport station will confirm the peak once final data are verified, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window for this short-range temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$158,383Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum near 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. This alignment reflects typical mid-May climatology for southeast England, where surface heating remains modest amid variable cloud cover and Atlantic air masses. Minor model spreads in afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically allow a brief push to 19°C, yet current guidance keeps higher readings unlikely. Official hourly observations from the London City Airport station will confirm the peak once final data are verified, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window for this short-range temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$158,383Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum near 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. This alignment reflects typical mid-May climatology for southeast England, where surface heating remains modest amid variable cloud cover and Atlantic air masses. Minor model spreads in afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically allow a brief push to 19°C, yet current guidance keeps higher readings unlikely. Official hourly observations from the London City Airport station will confirm the peak once final data are verified, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window for this short-range temperature resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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