Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula driving mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and modest daytime heating across central Spain. These conditions position a Madrid maximum near 22–23°C as the most probable outcome on May 17, consistent with AEMET guidance of an 11–23°C range at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport reference station. Short-range temperature models carry narrow uncertainty bands due to limited variability in springtime subsidence patterns, explaining why trader consensus heavily favors the 22°C threshold while assigning lower implied probabilities to deviations of just 1–2°C. Final resolution will hinge on afternoon AEMET observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 17 de mayo?
22°C 53%
23°C 18%
21°C 17%
24°C 8%
$23,320 Vol.
$23,320 Vol.
17 may 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
17%
22°C
53%
23°C
18%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 53%
23°C 18%
21°C 17%
24°C 8%
$23,320 Vol.
$23,320 Vol.
17 may 2026
17°C or below
$2,658 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,646 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,835 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,687 Vol.
2%
21°C
$3,175 Vol.
17%
22°C
$3,458 Vol.
53%
23°C
$2,800 Vol.
18%
24°C
$1,702 Vol.
8%
25°C
$1,236 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,218 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$914 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula driving mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and modest daytime heating across central Spain. These conditions position a Madrid maximum near 22–23°C as the most probable outcome on May 17, consistent with AEMET guidance of an 11–23°C range at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport reference station. Short-range temperature models carry narrow uncertainty bands due to limited variability in springtime subsidence patterns, explaining why trader consensus heavily favors the 22°C threshold while assigning lower implied probabilities to deviations of just 1–2°C. Final resolution will hinge on afternoon AEMET observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$23,320Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula driving mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and modest daytime heating across central Spain. These conditions position a Madrid maximum near 22–23°C as the most probable outcome on May 17, consistent with AEMET guidance of an 11–23°C range at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport reference station. Short-range temperature models carry narrow uncertainty bands due to limited variability in springtime subsidence patterns, explaining why trader consensus heavily favors the 22°C threshold while assigning lower implied probabilities to deviations of just 1–2°C. Final resolution will hinge on afternoon AEMET observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,320Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula driving mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and modest daytime heating across central Spain. These conditions position a Madrid maximum near 22–23°C as the most probable outcome on May 17, consistent with AEMET guidance of an 11–23°C range at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport reference station. Short-range temperature models carry narrow uncertainty bands due to limited variability in springtime subsidence patterns, explaining why trader consensus heavily favors the 22°C threshold while assigning lower implied probabilities to deviations of just 1–2°C. Final resolution will hinge on afternoon AEMET observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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