Traders have converged on 34°C as the near-certain outcome for Milan's highest temperature on August 14 because multiple forecast models, including those from the Italian Meteorological Service and European ensembles, project a peak near that threshold amid persistent high pressure and clear skies over the Po Valley. Official observations through midday show temperatures climbing steadily toward this level, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-August under similar synoptic patterns. This market-implied certainty reflects real-time data alignment rather than speculation, though an unexpected late-day surge from enhanced southerly flow or revised station readings could still push the official high to 35°C or higher before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 14 de agosto?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,682 Vol.
$67,682 Vol.
14 ago 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C o más
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,682 Vol.
$67,682 Vol.
14 ago 2026
29°C or below
$478 Vol.
No
30°C
$549 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,019 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,076 Vol.
No
33°C
$11,485 Vol.
No
34°C
$23,251 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$18,536 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,495 Vol.
No
37°C
$3,994 Vol.
No
38°C
$1,350 Vol.
No
39°C o más
$448 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 34°C as the near-certain outcome for Milan's highest temperature on August 14 because multiple forecast models, including those from the Italian Meteorological Service and European ensembles, project a peak near that threshold amid persistent high pressure and clear skies over the Po Valley. Official observations through midday show temperatures climbing steadily toward this level, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-August under similar synoptic patterns. This market-implied certainty reflects real-time data alignment rather than speculation, though an unexpected late-day surge from enhanced southerly flow or revised station readings could still push the official high to 35°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$67,682Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 34°C as the near-certain outcome for Milan's highest temperature on August 14 because multiple forecast models, including those from the Italian Meteorological Service and European ensembles, project a peak near that threshold amid persistent high pressure and clear skies over the Po Valley. Official observations through midday show temperatures climbing steadily toward this level, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-August under similar synoptic patterns. This market-implied certainty reflects real-time data alignment rather than speculation, though an unexpected late-day surge from enhanced southerly flow or revised station readings could still push the official high to 35°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$67,682Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Traders have converged on 34°C as the near-certain outcome for Milan's highest temperature on August 14 because multiple forecast models, including those from the Italian Meteorological Service and European ensembles, project a peak near that threshold amid persistent high pressure and clear skies over the Po Valley. Official observations through midday show temperatures climbing steadily toward this level, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-August under similar synoptic patterns. This market-implied certainty reflects real-time data alignment rather than speculation, though an unexpected late-day surge from enhanced southerly flow or revised station readings could still push the official high to 35°C or higher before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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