Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 18 most likely peaking between 28°C and 29°C, driven by southerly warm-air advection beneath a strengthening high-pressure ridge and mostly clear skies. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and daytime heating rates explain the tight clustering among the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C outcomes, while the modest probability assigned to 31°C or higher reflects limited upside potential from the current model consensus. Historical May maxima in the Russian capital average near 20°C, underscoring the above-normal warmth expected. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any late-afternoon surface observations that could shift the final recorded high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 18 de mayo?
29°C 31%
28°C 29%
30°C 20%
27°C 12%
NUEVO
$12,360 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,360 Vol.
18 may 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
29%
29°C
31%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
4%
29°C 31%
28°C 29%
30°C 20%
27°C 12%
NUEVO
$12,360 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,360 Vol.
18 may 2026
21°C or below
$936 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$743 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,321 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,722 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,296 Vol.
1%
26°C
$685 Vol.
4%
27°C
$541 Vol.
12%
28°C
$724 Vol.
29%
29°C
$564 Vol.
31%
30°C
$468 Vol.
20%
31°C or higher
$1,527 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 18 most likely peaking between 28°C and 29°C, driven by southerly warm-air advection beneath a strengthening high-pressure ridge and mostly clear skies. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and daytime heating rates explain the tight clustering among the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C outcomes, while the modest probability assigned to 31°C or higher reflects limited upside potential from the current model consensus. Historical May maxima in the Russian capital average near 20°C, underscoring the above-normal warmth expected. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any late-afternoon surface observations that could shift the final recorded high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$12,360Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 18 most likely peaking between 28°C and 29°C, driven by southerly warm-air advection beneath a strengthening high-pressure ridge and mostly clear skies. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and daytime heating rates explain the tight clustering among the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C outcomes, while the modest probability assigned to 31°C or higher reflects limited upside potential from the current model consensus. Historical May maxima in the Russian capital average near 20°C, underscoring the above-normal warmth expected. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any late-afternoon surface observations that could shift the final recorded high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,360Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 18 most likely peaking between 28°C and 29°C, driven by southerly warm-air advection beneath a strengthening high-pressure ridge and mostly clear skies. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and daytime heating rates explain the tight clustering among the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C outcomes, while the modest probability assigned to 31°C or higher reflects limited upside potential from the current model consensus. Historical May maxima in the Russian capital average near 20°C, underscoring the above-normal warmth expected. Traders are monitoring the next model cycle and any late-afternoon surface observations that could shift the final recorded high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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