Recent DWD and ECMWF model consensus points to a daytime maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air across Bavaria and limiting daytime insolation under partial cloud cover. Mid-May climatological normals of 17–18°C provide historical context, yet current surface observations and ensemble runs show suppressed warming relative to seasonal baselines, explaining the market’s 53% implied probability on 16°C ahead of 17°C at 25.5%. Final resolution depends on the official DWD daily maximum report, with any late-afternoon clearing representing the main variable that could shift outcomes toward 17°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 17 de mayo?
16°C 51%
17°C 30%
15°C 15%
18°C 2.6%
$22,366 Vol.
$22,366 Vol.
17 may 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
15%
16°C
51%
17°C
30%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 51%
17°C 30%
15°C 15%
18°C 2.6%
$22,366 Vol.
$22,366 Vol.
17 may 2026
11°C or below
$562 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,336 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,733 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,029 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$3,211 Vol.
15%
16°C
$2,228 Vol.
51%
17°C
$2,550 Vol.
30%
18°C
$1,649 Vol.
3%
19°C
$1,375 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,474 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$2,443 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent DWD and ECMWF model consensus points to a daytime maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air across Bavaria and limiting daytime insolation under partial cloud cover. Mid-May climatological normals of 17–18°C provide historical context, yet current surface observations and ensemble runs show suppressed warming relative to seasonal baselines, explaining the market’s 53% implied probability on 16°C ahead of 17°C at 25.5%. Final resolution depends on the official DWD daily maximum report, with any late-afternoon clearing representing the main variable that could shift outcomes toward 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$22,366Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent DWD and ECMWF model consensus points to a daytime maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air across Bavaria and limiting daytime insolation under partial cloud cover. Mid-May climatological normals of 17–18°C provide historical context, yet current surface observations and ensemble runs show suppressed warming relative to seasonal baselines, explaining the market’s 53% implied probability on 16°C ahead of 17°C at 25.5%. Final resolution depends on the official DWD daily maximum report, with any late-afternoon clearing representing the main variable that could shift outcomes toward 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,366Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMRecent DWD and ECMWF model consensus points to a daytime maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air across Bavaria and limiting daytime insolation under partial cloud cover. Mid-May climatological normals of 17–18°C provide historical context, yet current surface observations and ensemble runs show suppressed warming relative to seasonal baselines, explaining the market’s 53% implied probability on 16°C ahead of 17°C at 25.5%. Final resolution depends on the official DWD daily maximum report, with any late-afternoon clearing representing the main variable that could shift outcomes toward 17°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes