Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport, the official resolution station, under moderate high pressure and light northerly flow. Partial cloud cover is limiting daytime heating while boundary-layer mixing keeps afternoon peaks within the 15–17°C range, which explains why the 16°C outcome holds a narrow lead at 43% implied probability followed closely by 15°C at 35.5%. These tightly matched probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in exact cloud timing and mixing depth rather than a firm consensus, with 17°C still carrying 18.5% odds if clearer conditions develop before peak heating.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 17 de mayo?
16°C 52%
17°C 21%
15°C 18%
18°C 3.6%
$20,703 Vol.
$20,703 Vol.
17 may 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
18%
16°C
52%
17°C
21%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 52%
17°C 21%
15°C 18%
18°C 3.6%
$20,703 Vol.
$20,703 Vol.
17 may 2026
11°C or below
$562 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,336 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,733 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,836 Vol.
2%
15°C
$2,810 Vol.
18%
16°C
$2,228 Vol.
52%
17°C
$2,381 Vol.
21%
18°C
$1,559 Vol.
4%
19°C
$1,375 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,474 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$2,443 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport, the official resolution station, under moderate high pressure and light northerly flow. Partial cloud cover is limiting daytime heating while boundary-layer mixing keeps afternoon peaks within the 15–17°C range, which explains why the 16°C outcome holds a narrow lead at 43% implied probability followed closely by 15°C at 35.5%. These tightly matched probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in exact cloud timing and mixing depth rather than a firm consensus, with 17°C still carrying 18.5% odds if clearer conditions develop before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$20,703Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport, the official resolution station, under moderate high pressure and light northerly flow. Partial cloud cover is limiting daytime heating while boundary-layer mixing keeps afternoon peaks within the 15–17°C range, which explains why the 16°C outcome holds a narrow lead at 43% implied probability followed closely by 15°C at 35.5%. These tightly matched probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in exact cloud timing and mixing depth rather than a firm consensus, with 17°C still carrying 18.5% odds if clearer conditions develop before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,703Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMCurrent forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport, the official resolution station, under moderate high pressure and light northerly flow. Partial cloud cover is limiting daytime heating while boundary-layer mixing keeps afternoon peaks within the 15–17°C range, which explains why the 16°C outcome holds a narrow lead at 43% implied probability followed closely by 15°C at 35.5%. These tightly matched probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in exact cloud timing and mixing depth rather than a firm consensus, with 17°C still carrying 18.5% odds if clearer conditions develop before peak heating.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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