Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate northwesterly flow and limited solar heating. This consensus drives the 79% market-implied probability for 16°C, while the 17°C outcome sits at 17.5% amid minor model spread on cloud cover. Typical mid-May climatology near 19°C provides context, yet current observations reflect cooler Atlantic air advection that has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Traders watch the next model cycle for any rapid warming signals before resolution criteria based on official station readings are finalized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 17 de mayo?
16°C 84%
17°C 20%
18°C 1.4%
19°C <1%
$92,804 Vol.
$92,804 Vol.
17 may 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
84%
17°C
20%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 84%
17°C 20%
18°C 1.4%
19°C <1%
$92,804 Vol.
$92,804 Vol.
17 may 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,596 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$16,009 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$12,139 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$14,346 Vol.
84%
17°C
$12,197 Vol.
20%
18°C
$10,611 Vol.
1%
19°C
$12,279 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$4,656 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate northwesterly flow and limited solar heating. This consensus drives the 79% market-implied probability for 16°C, while the 17°C outcome sits at 17.5% amid minor model spread on cloud cover. Typical mid-May climatology near 19°C provides context, yet current observations reflect cooler Atlantic air advection that has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Traders watch the next model cycle for any rapid warming signals before resolution criteria based on official station readings are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$92,804Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate northwesterly flow and limited solar heating. This consensus drives the 79% market-implied probability for 16°C, while the 17°C outcome sits at 17.5% amid minor model spread on cloud cover. Typical mid-May climatology near 19°C provides context, yet current observations reflect cooler Atlantic air advection that has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Traders watch the next model cycle for any rapid warming signals before resolution criteria based on official station readings are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$92,804Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent forecast runs from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate northwesterly flow and limited solar heating. This consensus drives the 79% market-implied probability for 16°C, while the 17°C outcome sits at 17.5% amid minor model spread on cloud cover. Typical mid-May climatology near 19°C provides context, yet current observations reflect cooler Atlantic air advection that has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Traders watch the next model cycle for any rapid warming signals before resolution criteria based on official station readings are finalized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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