Current forecasts from Meteo France and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping surface heating limited and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 52% implied probability. Mid-May climatology typically supports highs of 18–20°C, yet persistent cloud cover and a cooler Atlantic air mass have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, consistent with the 32.5% weighting on 15°C and limited 10% odds on 17°C. Official observations through midday confirm readings tracking close to model guidance, though afternoon clearing could allow brief warming; traders are monitoring updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents for any late shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 17 de mayo?
16°C 67%
15°C 23%
17°C 9%
18°C <1%
$86,628 Vol.
$86,628 Vol.
17 may 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
23%
16°C
67%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 67%
15°C 23%
17°C 9%
18°C <1%
$86,628 Vol.
$86,628 Vol.
17 may 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,570 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15,968 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$10,920 Vol.
23%
16°C
$11,808 Vol.
67%
17°C
$10,750 Vol.
9%
18°C
$9,248 Vol.
1%
19°C
$11,795 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$4,166 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Meteo France and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping surface heating limited and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 52% implied probability. Mid-May climatology typically supports highs of 18–20°C, yet persistent cloud cover and a cooler Atlantic air mass have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, consistent with the 32.5% weighting on 15°C and limited 10% odds on 17°C. Official observations through midday confirm readings tracking close to model guidance, though afternoon clearing could allow brief warming; traders are monitoring updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents for any late shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$86,628Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Meteo France and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping surface heating limited and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 52% implied probability. Mid-May climatology typically supports highs of 18–20°C, yet persistent cloud cover and a cooler Atlantic air mass have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, consistent with the 32.5% weighting on 15°C and limited 10% odds on 17°C. Official observations through midday confirm readings tracking close to model guidance, though afternoon clearing could allow brief warming; traders are monitoring updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents for any late shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$86,628Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBCurrent forecasts from Meteo France and European models indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping surface heating limited and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 52% implied probability. Mid-May climatology typically supports highs of 18–20°C, yet persistent cloud cover and a cooler Atlantic air mass have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, consistent with the 32.5% weighting on 15°C and limited 10% odds on 17°C. Official observations through midday confirm readings tracking close to model guidance, though afternoon clearing could allow brief warming; traders are monitoring updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents for any late shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes