Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional meteorological models indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C in Paris on May 18, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under mostly cloudy skies. This synoptic pattern limits diurnal heating and supports the market’s tight clustering around the 15°C and 16°C outcomes. Model consensus shows modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with slight variations in cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage capable of shifting the peak by 1°C. Historical May climatology averages 18°C, yet current conditions deviate below that baseline. Traders will monitor the next Météo-France and ECMWF runs for any adjustments ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 18 de mayo?
16°C 39%
15°C 34%
17°C 17%
14°C 6%
NUEVO
$20,853 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,853 Vol.
18 may 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
34%
16°C
39%
17°C
17%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 39%
15°C 34%
17°C 17%
14°C 6%
NUEVO
$20,853 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,853 Vol.
18 may 2026
9°C or below
$1,541 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$3,369 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$853 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,774 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,430 Vol.
1%
14°C
$2,881 Vol.
6%
15°C
$1,376 Vol.
34%
16°C
$2,711 Vol.
39%
17°C
$1,982 Vol.
17%
18°C
$1,362 Vol.
3%
19°C or higher
$1,718 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional meteorological models indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C in Paris on May 18, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under mostly cloudy skies. This synoptic pattern limits diurnal heating and supports the market’s tight clustering around the 15°C and 16°C outcomes. Model consensus shows modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with slight variations in cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage capable of shifting the peak by 1°C. Historical May climatology averages 18°C, yet current conditions deviate below that baseline. Traders will monitor the next Météo-France and ECMWF runs for any adjustments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$20,853Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional meteorological models indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C in Paris on May 18, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under mostly cloudy skies. This synoptic pattern limits diurnal heating and supports the market’s tight clustering around the 15°C and 16°C outcomes. Model consensus shows modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with slight variations in cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage capable of shifting the peak by 1°C. Historical May climatology averages 18°C, yet current conditions deviate below that baseline. Traders will monitor the next Météo-France and ECMWF runs for any adjustments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,853Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent ensemble forecasts from global and regional meteorological models indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C in Paris on May 18, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under mostly cloudy skies. This synoptic pattern limits diurnal heating and supports the market’s tight clustering around the 15°C and 16°C outcomes. Model consensus shows modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with slight variations in cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage capable of shifting the peak by 1°C. Historical May climatology averages 18°C, yet current conditions deviate below that baseline. Traders will monitor the next Météo-France and ECMWF runs for any adjustments ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes