Strong synoptic conditions have locked in trader consensus around a peak of 35 °C or higher in Tel Aviv on May 17. A building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is delivering clear skies, weak sea-breeze moderation, and strong daytime insolation, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the seasonal climatological range of 26–28 °C. Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble guidance show this warming trend accelerating after cooler 24–25 °C readings on May 15–16. With the market now implying near-certainty, final afternoon observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will confirm the exact maximum before resolution; only an unexpected rapid change in steering flow or unforecast cloud cover could alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 17 de mayo?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,681 Vol.
$74,681 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,681 Vol.
$74,681 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Strong synoptic conditions have locked in trader consensus around a peak of 35 °C or higher in Tel Aviv on May 17. A building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is delivering clear skies, weak sea-breeze moderation, and strong daytime insolation, allowing surface temperatures to climb well above the seasonal climatological range of 26–28 °C. Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble guidance show this warming trend accelerating after cooler 24–25 °C readings on May 15–16. With the market now implying near-certainty, final afternoon observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will confirm the exact maximum before resolution; only an unexpected rapid change in steering flow or unforecast cloud cover could alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes