Strong high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean is driving intense daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain today, with Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models projecting afternoon maxima well above the 26–28 °C climatological baseline. Clear skies, light winds, and minimal sea-breeze suppression have allowed rapid surface warming from recent 24–25 °C readings, producing the market’s 100 % implied probability for a 35 °C or higher peak at Ben Gurion International Airport. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through sunset; any unexpected onshore flow or earlier cloud cover could cap temperatures below that threshold, though current model consensus shows little support for such moderation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 17 de mayo?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,594 Vol.
$74,594 Vol.
17 may 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,594 Vol.
$74,594 Vol.
17 may 2026
25°C or below
$10,490 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,780 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,332 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,408 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,721 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,369 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,203 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,955 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,931 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$9,135 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$17,270 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean is driving intense daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain today, with Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models projecting afternoon maxima well above the 26–28 °C climatological baseline. Clear skies, light winds, and minimal sea-breeze suppression have allowed rapid surface warming from recent 24–25 °C readings, producing the market’s 100 % implied probability for a 35 °C or higher peak at Ben Gurion International Airport. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through sunset; any unexpected onshore flow or earlier cloud cover could cap temperatures below that threshold, though current model consensus shows little support for such moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$74,594Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean is driving intense daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain today, with Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models projecting afternoon maxima well above the 26–28 °C climatological baseline. Clear skies, light winds, and minimal sea-breeze suppression have allowed rapid surface warming from recent 24–25 °C readings, producing the market’s 100 % implied probability for a 35 °C or higher peak at Ben Gurion International Airport. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through sunset; any unexpected onshore flow or earlier cloud cover could cap temperatures below that threshold, though current model consensus shows little support for such moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$74,594Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETStrong high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean is driving intense daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain today, with Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models projecting afternoon maxima well above the 26–28 °C climatological baseline. Clear skies, light winds, and minimal sea-breeze suppression have allowed rapid surface warming from recent 24–25 °C readings, producing the market’s 100 % implied probability for a 35 °C or higher peak at Ben Gurion International Airport. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through sunset; any unexpected onshore flow or earlier cloud cover could cap temperatures below that threshold, though current model consensus shows little support for such moderation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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