Current JMA forecasts indicate cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers over Tokyo on August 16, which are expected to limit daytime heating and favor highs near 29–31°C. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes at 28–30°C, reflecting typical mid-August climatology (normal maximum 31.4°C) tempered by reduced solar insolation under cloud cover and higher humidity. The broader summer pattern of above-normal temperatures, driven by a strengthened Pacific High, supports the slight upward tilt in probabilities for 30°C while keeping extremes above 32°C unlikely without clear skies or stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and the imminent resolution on August 16 will refine these trader-assessed odds as new observational data arrives.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 16 de agosto?
29°C 42%
28°C 27%
30°C 20%
27°C 5%
NUEVO
$19,941 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,941 Vol.
16 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
27%
29°C
42%
30°C
20%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
28°C 27%
30°C 20%
27°C 5%
NUEVO
$19,941 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,941 Vol.
16 ago 2026
24°C or below
$1,221 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$517 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$589 Vol.
1%
27°C
$3,794 Vol.
5%
28°C
$1,650 Vol.
27%
29°C
$2,422 Vol.
42%
30°C
$3,651 Vol.
20%
31°C
$1,317 Vol.
5%
32°C
$2,522 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,636 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$621 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current JMA forecasts indicate cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers over Tokyo on August 16, which are expected to limit daytime heating and favor highs near 29–31°C. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes at 28–30°C, reflecting typical mid-August climatology (normal maximum 31.4°C) tempered by reduced solar insolation under cloud cover and higher humidity. The broader summer pattern of above-normal temperatures, driven by a strengthened Pacific High, supports the slight upward tilt in probabilities for 30°C while keeping extremes above 32°C unlikely without clear skies or stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and the imminent resolution on August 16 will refine these trader-assessed odds as new observational data arrives.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$19,941Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current JMA forecasts indicate cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers over Tokyo on August 16, which are expected to limit daytime heating and favor highs near 29–31°C. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes at 28–30°C, reflecting typical mid-August climatology (normal maximum 31.4°C) tempered by reduced solar insolation under cloud cover and higher humidity. The broader summer pattern of above-normal temperatures, driven by a strengthened Pacific High, supports the slight upward tilt in probabilities for 30°C while keeping extremes above 32°C unlikely without clear skies or stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and the imminent resolution on August 16 will refine these trader-assessed odds as new observational data arrives.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,941Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current JMA forecasts indicate cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers over Tokyo on August 16, which are expected to limit daytime heating and favor highs near 29–31°C. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes at 28–30°C, reflecting typical mid-August climatology (normal maximum 31.4°C) tempered by reduced solar insolation under cloud cover and higher humidity. The broader summer pattern of above-normal temperatures, driven by a strengthened Pacific High, supports the slight upward tilt in probabilities for 30°C while keeping extremes above 32°C unlikely without clear skies or stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and the imminent resolution on August 16 will refine these trader-assessed odds as new observational data arrives.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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