Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C at Tokyo’s official Otemachi station for May 17, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection, strong afternoon insolation, and minimal cloud cover across the Kanto Plain. This stable synoptic pattern has produced successive model runs with narrow uncertainty envelopes, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for the 28°C bin and reflecting traders’ assessment of high-confidence short-range numerical weather prediction. Historical May climatology shows typical highs near 23–25°C, making today’s expected peak an unseasonable but well-supported outlier. The primary risk to this outcome remains an unanticipated late-afternoon frontal passage or microscale measurement variation at resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 17 de mayo?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$77,693 Vol.
$77,693 Vol.
17 may 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$77,693 Vol.
$77,693 Vol.
17 may 2026
20°C or below
$3,024 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,893 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$819 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,290 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,445 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,219 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$9,577 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10,355 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$11,214 Vol.
100%
29°C
$10,452 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$9,406 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C at Tokyo’s official Otemachi station for May 17, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection, strong afternoon insolation, and minimal cloud cover across the Kanto Plain. This stable synoptic pattern has produced successive model runs with narrow uncertainty envelopes, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for the 28°C bin and reflecting traders’ assessment of high-confidence short-range numerical weather prediction. Historical May climatology shows typical highs near 23–25°C, making today’s expected peak an unseasonable but well-supported outlier. The primary risk to this outcome remains an unanticipated late-afternoon frontal passage or microscale measurement variation at resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$77,693Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C at Tokyo’s official Otemachi station for May 17, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection, strong afternoon insolation, and minimal cloud cover across the Kanto Plain. This stable synoptic pattern has produced successive model runs with narrow uncertainty envelopes, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for the 28°C bin and reflecting traders’ assessment of high-confidence short-range numerical weather prediction. Historical May climatology shows typical highs near 23–25°C, making today’s expected peak an unseasonable but well-supported outlier. The primary risk to this outcome remains an unanticipated late-afternoon frontal passage or microscale measurement variation at resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$77,693Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C at Tokyo’s official Otemachi station for May 17, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection, strong afternoon insolation, and minimal cloud cover across the Kanto Plain. This stable synoptic pattern has produced successive model runs with narrow uncertainty envelopes, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for the 28°C bin and reflecting traders’ assessment of high-confidence short-range numerical weather prediction. Historical May climatology shows typical highs near 23–25°C, making today’s expected peak an unseasonable but well-supported outlier. The primary risk to this outcome remains an unanticipated late-afternoon frontal passage or microscale measurement variation at resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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