Latest IMGW observations show Warsaw morning temperatures around 8°C under partly cloudy skies, with official forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble models converging on a daytime high of 17–19°C, peaking 2–5 PM amid a weakening low-pressure trough. Persistent showers and overcast conditions through May 12–13 suppressed prior highs to just 13°C, well below the 19°C May climatological average, driving trader sentiment toward conservative outcomes. Market-implied odds reflect this model spread and lingering shower risk (IMGW thunderstorm alerts), splitting 55% at 18°C versus 43.5% at 19°C, as cloud cover could cap warming or allow a brief 19°C spike. Hourly IMGW data and 12Z model runs today will refine resolution near official airport station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 14?
18°C 62%
19°C 35%
20°C 1.7%
22°C <1%
$29,795 Vol.
$29,795 Vol.
14 may 2026
14°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
62%
19°C
35%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 62%
19°C 35%
20°C 1.7%
22°C <1%
$29,795 Vol.
$29,795 Vol.
14 may 2026
14°C
$1,610 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,985 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$7,150 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,119 Vol.
62%
19°C
$2,312 Vol.
35%
20°C
$2,324 Vol.
2%
21°C
$1,432 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,424 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$3,791 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest IMGW observations show Warsaw morning temperatures around 8°C under partly cloudy skies, with official forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble models converging on a daytime high of 17–19°C, peaking 2–5 PM amid a weakening low-pressure trough. Persistent showers and overcast conditions through May 12–13 suppressed prior highs to just 13°C, well below the 19°C May climatological average, driving trader sentiment toward conservative outcomes. Market-implied odds reflect this model spread and lingering shower risk (IMGW thunderstorm alerts), splitting 55% at 18°C versus 43.5% at 19°C, as cloud cover could cap warming or allow a brief 19°C spike. Hourly IMGW data and 12Z model runs today will refine resolution near official airport station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$29,795Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest IMGW observations show Warsaw morning temperatures around 8°C under partly cloudy skies, with official forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble models converging on a daytime high of 17–19°C, peaking 2–5 PM amid a weakening low-pressure trough. Persistent showers and overcast conditions through May 12–13 suppressed prior highs to just 13°C, well below the 19°C May climatological average, driving trader sentiment toward conservative outcomes. Market-implied odds reflect this model spread and lingering shower risk (IMGW thunderstorm alerts), splitting 55% at 18°C versus 43.5% at 19°C, as cloud cover could cap warming or allow a brief 19°C spike. Hourly IMGW data and 12Z model runs today will refine resolution near official airport station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$29,795Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest IMGW observations show Warsaw morning temperatures around 8°C under partly cloudy skies, with official forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble models converging on a daytime high of 17–19°C, peaking 2–5 PM amid a weakening low-pressure trough. Persistent showers and overcast conditions through May 12–13 suppressed prior highs to just 13°C, well below the 19°C May climatological average, driving trader sentiment toward conservative outcomes. Market-implied odds reflect this model spread and lingering shower risk (IMGW thunderstorm alerts), splitting 55% at 18°C versus 43.5% at 19°C, as cloud cover could cap warming or allow a brief 19°C spike. Hourly IMGW data and 12Z model runs today will refine resolution near official airport station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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